Thursday, November 13, 2008

Intel Slashes Outlook

From the AP:

Intel Corp.'s deep cuts to its fourth-quarter guidance offers further evidence that technology companies are in for a beating because of the economy.

The Santa Clara-based company slashed more than $1 billion from its sales forecast and dialed its profit expectations way back. Intel, the world's biggest maker of PC microprocessors with 80 percent of the global market, blamed a clampdown on spending for reducing demand for its chips.


Cisco Systems Inc., the world's largest maker of computer networking gear, reported that orders fell off abruptly in October. The grim forecast suggested that other tech companies will have to absorb major damage to their sales as well. Cisco was the first major technology company to report results that included October.

More specific warning signs for the PC sector emerged last week when Lenovo Group Ltd., the world's fourth-largest PC maker, reported that profits plunged 78 percent.


Intel blamed "significantly weaker than expected demand in all geographies and market segments" and PC makers buying fewer new chips as they burn through existing inventory to save money.

Intel is a key company because it supplies a key component to a lot of different products. So when Intel is hurt everybody is hurt. In addition, technology was considered a safe haven for awhile because it wasn't exposed to the financial market issues. So much for that theory.

Let's place this story in perspective. US GDP was $14.4 trillion in 3Q 2008. Equipment and software investment accounted for $1.013 trillion of that or 7.18%. However, this part of GDP growth hasn't been a major contributor for a bit. Here is a chart of the percentage change from the preceding period for equipment and software investment.

Click for a larger image

So -- what does this mean? Simple: the economy is in serious trouble.