- by New Deal democrat
This is a new daily or nearly daily update I hope to post, including the most important metrics to show how controlled - or out of control - the cononavirus pandemic is. Hopefully the numbers will move ever closer to the tipping point where the epidemic is under control.
In order to bring this pandemic under control, and prevent both health and economic catastrophes, in my opinion the US needs 2 weeks of China (total lockdown, preventing community spread) followed by 1 month of South Korea (extremely aggressive testing). The metric to be watched for testing is a ratio of 15 tests administered for every infection found (the ratio at which South Korea turned the corner).
Here is the update through yesterday (March 21)
Comparison of rates of increase in documented infections vs. testing
Result: Infections continue to increase a faster rate than tests: i.e., we are falling further behind in testing.