Saturday, June 21, 2025

Weekly Indicators for June 16 - 20 at Seeking Alpha

 

 - by New Deal democrat


My “Weekly Indicators” post is up at Seeking Alpha.


The trends that have been in place ever since the start of Tariff-palooza!, aided and abetted by the GOP budget-busting bill and the burgeoning Israel-Iran war, are continuing.

The US$ is declining, oil prices are spiking, rail traffic has turned negative, and consumer spending seems to be slowly decelerating.

WINNING! One of the things I may elaborate on as early as tomorrow is that not a single US economic expansion in the past 50+ years has died a natural death. Every single one has been murdered in whole or in part by a domestic political or geopolitical shock. As noted above, in the past 5 months T—-p has managed to unleash at least 3 of them.

As usual, clicking over and reading will bring you up to the virtual moment as to the state of the economy, and reward me with a penny or two for organizing and reporting on it.