Sunday, May 20, 2007

The Markets Through a P&F Lense

For those of you who are unfamiliar with P&F charts, I would highly recommend you start to get acquainted. These charts allow you to filter out a great deal of extraneous market noise and focus solely on the big price movement. This helps to get a solid picture of the market's general trend.

All three of these charts say the same thing: the market is in a bull phase. Also notice the cumulative volume on the up moves (market with the green x's) is higher than the volume of the price declines.

Photo Sharing and Video Hosting at Photobucket

Photo Sharing and Video Hosting at Photobucket

Photo Sharing and Video Hosting at Photobucket

However, the NY and NASDAQ advance/decline lines aren't looking that strong right now.

Photo Sharing and Video Hosting at Photobucket

Photo Sharing and Video Hosting at Photobucket

Despite the new highs on the Dow for what seems like forever, the Advance decline line is in a range for most of May. The NASDAQ advance decline line is declining. Both of these charts indicate the market's recent advance is on shaky ground and a pullback should be surprising.