- by New Deal democrat
I have been warning since late June that the situation would likely look very different by the end of July. By 2 weeks ago, I wrote:
“In the near future, there appears to be bad news and *relatively* “good” news for the US. The bad news is that the “delta wave” is spreading, and we should expect a real outbreak on the order of last summer’s by early August. The *relatively* “good” news is that the death rate is likely not to be nearly so bad, if the experience in the UK is any guide.”
Cases have nearly tripled in the US in the past 2 weeks:
Since deaths lag by about 28 days, we haven’t nearly begun to see the kind of increase that is already baked into the cake.