Remember: my central thesis right now is the market is consolidating in a triangle formation at the end of a long sell-off. Today's action keeps us squarely within that triangle. In other words, we're still consolidating.
The real estate people say that housing might go down another 15% or whatever, next 18 month's. Here's the thing. If FNM or Freddie mac, dropped the interest rate 1% on the 30 year loan, that makes up for the loss in the housing value ( instant fix). Why is there such opposition to this kind of a move__ well that's the part that has me intrigued. The opposition. There's opposition to an instant fix. It's as if, the gov't doesn't want to insta - fix the economy. That's the part that's intriguing.
He notes the Mark Buchanan NT Times article from the beginning of October that big market price movements appear to have no relation to major news items.
My tax practice is centered around captive insurance. I'm the author of the book U.S. Captive Insurance Law (which is also available on Kindle), the leading book in the field. You can learn more about captive insurance at my website.
I'm on Linked In and Twitter (@captivelawyer). Silver Oz's Linked In name is @silver_oz. NDD is a fossil and may be reached by etching a picture in stone on the wall of a cave.
The Bonddad Economic History Project
At the beginning of 2012, I decided to start looking at the actual, statistical history of the US economy starting in 1950. The reason is simple: to find out what really happened. So, when you see title of a post that begins with a year such as 1957, followed by "employment" or "Fed policy: you know what it's for. You can also access the information by typing in BE for Bonddad econ and a year to find information on a particular year.
Here is a link to pages that contain links to all the posts on the years listed.
This blog contains opinions and observations. It is not professional advice in any way, shape or form and should not be construed that way. In other words, buyer beware.
2 comments:
The real estate people say that housing might go down another 15% or whatever, next 18 month's. Here's the thing. If FNM or Freddie mac, dropped the interest rate 1% on the 30 year loan, that makes up for the loss in the housing value ( instant fix).
Why is there such opposition to this kind of a move__
well that's the part that has me intrigued.
The opposition.
There's opposition to an instant fix.
It's as if, the gov't doesn't want to insta - fix the economy.
That's the part that's intriguing.
BD, have a look at this article on economic modeling by an electrical engineer.
He notes the Mark Buchanan NT Times article from the beginning of October that big market price movements appear to have no relation to major news items.
He suggests a different modeling approach.
What do you think?
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