Wednesday, October 22, 2008

Wednesday Commodities Round-Up

Wow -- just wow. A few months ago I was extremely worried about spiking inflation levels. Now those fears have gone completely by the wayside.

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Commodity prices are now at or near their lowest levels in over three years. Also note the following:

-- Prices are below all the SMAs

-- the 20 day SMA is about to move through the 50 day SMA

-- All the SMAs are now moving lower

BUT

Note the CRB is very oversold right now.

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On the daily chart, notice the following:

-- Prices are below all the SMAs

-- All the SMAs are moving lower

-- The shorter SMAs are below the longer SMAs

-- Prices have been dropping for three months

This chart looks a great deal like the dollar chart from the last few years.

Bottom line: this is now a very bearish index.