Democrats are quick to blame Republicans, who were in power during the housing bubble and subprime lending frenzy. For years, America's leaders failed to restrain the markets, companies, investors and consumers from the missteps that led to the most pervasive financial crisis in decades.
But in hindsight, the failure stretches across government and across party lines. At bottom are two strong currents. From the Republican president to urban Democratic congressmen, homeownership was pushed as an overriding and unquestioned goal. And many significant attempts at regulation were obstructed by the prevailing belief that the economy did best when financial markets operated as freely as possible.
The Bush administration coupled cheerleading for homeownership with pressure on government-sponsored mortgage lenders Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to provide funding for riskier mortgages. Both Democrats and Republicans stood by as Fannie and Freddie invested heavily in securities backed by subprime loans. Democratic congressmen pushed a federal law to restrain lending practices later discredited, but Republicans with some Democratic allies blocked or countered with weaker versions.
And at the Federal Reserve, Chairman Alan Greenspan, revered by both parties for his economic management, resisted using the Fed's authority to more aggressively regulate lender behavior.
The blame spreads beyond Washington, to state capitals. In California, home to most of the country's subprime lenders, Democratic state lawmakers didn't support laws that would have imposed tougher regulations on a prized local industry. Politicians of all stripes cheered on the lower interest rates that sparked the boom in housing and excesses in credit.
Let me chime in with a few observations.
1.) There's a fundamental belief that regulation is bad and deregulation is good. That's a horrible over-simplification. It's important to remember that at the base of capitalism is greed. Some greed is a good thing -- it can inspire people to make better products more efficiently which means the end result costs less. That's good and I think it's safe to say we all like better products cheaper. Too much greed compromises ethics. That's bad. There are plenty of situations in the last 25 years that demonstrate that. For example, the S&P crisis, Enron and Worldcom and now the housing mess. The line between the good and bad effects of greed is very fine and it moves regularly.
2.) There is such a thing as too much regulation. Red tape is a bad thing if it gets in the way of innovation or development. A classic example is the lack of building new refining capacity in the US since the 1970s. Like it or not, the US uses a ton of oil products and our demand for oil products has increased greatly since the late 1970s if only by reason of population growth. Yet we are still using the same refining plant developed when my parents were in their prime. That's a problem. And no -- this is not a call from Bonddad to pollute or cause a ton of environmental damage. But it is a call to deal with the situation in a far better way then we are dealing with it now. Frankly, that probably means developing a national energy policy -- which we should have done 30 years ago.
3.) The government's role is to play referee. Before his resignation, Eliot Spitzer was one of the best things to happen to Wall Street in a very long time. Why? Because he enforced the rules -- which is something that has to be done. Here's s simple question: how many food recalls have there been in the last three years? A ton. Why? Because the government isn't enforcing the rules. I don't know about you guys, but I like the idea of my food being safe to eat. Maybe I'm different. But when the CEO of the latest company to initiate a meat recall said in open testimony on Capital Hill that he was using sick animals I almost become a vegetarian (almost). That's the end result of not enforcing the rules. That does not mean we make it impossible to do business. But we do need to make sure the rules are followed and that means enforcement.
That's my rant on the topic.


7 comments:
your refining example is horrible not to mention bogus.
We didn't add refining capacity because we had a glut for years. And then we added enormous capacity within existing refineries because it is cheaper than building grass roots plants. (compare operable capacity in 1991 with now). Moreover, exporting nations wanted to get vertically integrated and built refineries aimed at exporting to the USA. Pretty much every drop of crude gets refined, so capacity was built somewhere as crude production went up by 40-50% in the last couple of decades.
The idea that red tape is the issue is pretty much a red herring thrown up by the Kudlows of the world.
The worst part of that CEOs testimony wasn't that they were using sick animals, it was his assertion that "he wouldn't eat them himself" but he thought it was perfectly OK to put them into the food supply chain so that we would eat them.
Let us not forget the FDA ruling which refused permission to an abattoir to test each of their cows for BSE. This would have allowed the slaughter house to sell beef to Japan and a few other nations. Just another great example of the free market at work.
I would like to expand on the first comment to add that oil consumption in the U.S reached a peak in 1978, then fell and didn't match 1978 levels until 1998, 20 years later.
I'm surprised that you would use this example as it is so easily and thoroughly discredited. So, as much as you protest ("this is not a call from Bonddad to pollute..."), you're adopting language from the "blame the environmentalists for all our ills" crowd.
Living next door to Chevron Richmond CA, I might be better informed than most. They are getting ready to widen their slate of crude to Orinoco and Canadian tar glop, but lying to do it. On the other hand, they've just invented a process that reduces coke byproduct from 30% to essentially zero.
Technical issues. Transparency and regulations rule. When can we get corporations small enough to drown in the bathtub?
Yeah, Alan and anonymous are right. You got this one wrong Bonddad. The only regulations that prevented refinery expansion were CAFE standards.
How quickly some people forget. Not so long ago oil was stuck in a $20 to $30 trading range. Oil consumption in the US was flat thru the 80's and early 90's. It wasn't until SUV's caught on that gas consumption really started to rise again in the US. Thank GM and Ford for that. Unfortunately Clinton failed to fix the truck loophole in the CAFE standards.
So yeah, Darth Cheney was right, in a round about way. Regulation is to blame, but only indirectly. By improving fleet efficiencies, CAFE standards helped keep domestic oil consumption flat. So it didn't pay to build new refineries.
But that isn't an argument against regulation, unless you're an Exxon/Halliburton exec.
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