Tuesday, April 10, 2007

Majority Expect a Recession

From Bloomberg:

Most Americans expect a recession within a year and disapprove of President George W. Bush's handling of the economy even though the unemployment rate is at a five-year low, a new Bloomberg/Los Angeles Times poll found.

Six in 10 who were surveyed predicted a recession, similar to the 64 percent who anticipated the economy would contract in a December 2000 poll by the Los Angeles Times three months before the last decline. In the current survey, 71 percent of those earning less than $40,000 said they expect a recession compared with about half for those making more than $100,000.

``We're living on borrowed time,'' said Andrew Herring, 43, a chemical engineering professor at the Colorado School of Mines in Golden, Colorado, who took part in the survey. ``We spend ridiculous amounts of money on the war and now we have issues with the subprime housing market,'' said Herring, a Democrat.


1.) This really brings consumer sentiment polls/readings under serious doubt.

2.) This shouldn't be too surprising. People are aware the government is spending a ton of money on everything under the sun, the subprime mortgage market has problems and the economy is slowing.

3.) I forgot to add increasing gas prices.

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

I am more suprised that it is taking so long to come to a head than in the fact that it's going to happen.

It's like watching a tsunami coming at you from miles out in the distance. By the time you see it, it's probably too late.

-Disillusioned

Anonymous said...

I'm also surprised we've been at this precipice for so long. I guess we, as a nation, are doing what we can to keep up appearances. It's going to be ugly when the truth shakes out. I live in a bad market for foreclosures, I'm concerned we may not have much of a neighborhood left by the end of next year. And what do the ever-greedy home builder's do? Start another development building even bigger homes to draw on the very last group of poor subprime suckers.

Heretic said...

"Most Americans expect a recession within a year and disapprove of President George W. Bush's handling of the economy even though the unemployment rate is at a five-year low, a new Bloomberg/Los Angeles Times poll found."

You mean the hugely doctored unemployment numbers?

Five year low my ass.

http://moneycentral.msn.com/content/P146055.asp?Printer