- by New Deal democrat
Several weeks ago Italy was the poster child for an out-of-control pandemic. It implemented a strict nationwide lockdown. Here are its daily number of new infections:
![](https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2020/4/6/49540393-1586187701360255.jpg)
Next came Spain, which overtook Italy in the total number of infections. It also implemented a nationwide lockdown. Here are its daily number of new infections:
![](https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2020/4/6/49540393-15861877028813004.jpg)
Within the US, Washington State started a local lockdown almost immediately, and was among the first to start a Statewide lockdown. Here are its daily number of new infections, which have plateaued at about 75 per 1 million per capita:
![](https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2020/4/6/49540393-15861877065433083.jpg)
The State of California as a whole was one of the first three States to go to a Statewide lockdown 16 days ago. Here are its daily number of new infections, which plateaued at about 35 per 1 million population (the spike on the last day is probably due to clearance of a huge backlog in. Testing):
![](https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2020/4/6/49540393-15861877102189763.jpg)
Hawaii, besides lockdowns, being islands, started a ban/quarantine on incoming visitors. Here are its daily number of new infections:
![](https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2020/4/6/49540393-15861877136644683.jpg)
Finally, here is the US as a whole. As more and more State lockdowns take effect, the increase in the number of new cases has been slowing:
![](https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2020/4/6/49540393-15861876985687714.jpg)
Here is a graph from Kevin Drum showing the daily rate of increase of new infections for the US:
![](https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2020/4/6/49540393-15861876917747917.png)
Obviously they aren’t the only answer, because aggressive testing, tracing, and quarantine of those in contact with new cases must be implemented for a successful regimen, but the fact is, lockdowns work. The sooner they are implemented, the sooner the daily number of new infections peak.