Tuesday, January 26, 2010

Existing Home Sales Tank

From Bloomberg:

Existing home sales in plunged a little deeper than expected in December though prices surprisingly firmed in the month. Sales fell 16.7 percent for the largest monthly decline in data going back to 1968. The annual rate of 5.45 million units compares with expectations for 5.90 million and against the 2009 total of 5.16 million. Declines swept all regions especially the Midwest and were split evenly between single-family homes, down 16.8 percent to a 4.79 million rate, and condos, down 15.4 percent to 0.66 million.

Now the goods news. Prices firmed, up a sizable 4.9 percent on the median to $178,300 and up 6.4 percent on the average to $225,400. The National Association of Realtors, which compiles the report, attributed the gain to a higher proportion of repeat buyers during the month. First-time buyers, enticed by special credits, were a key force behind the housing sector's pop higher in the second half of last year. The first round of housing credits expired in November before being extended and expanded into the spring, a factor that is likely to lead to acceleration in home buying in the coming months.

But right now the housing sector is once again very soft. A special negative in today's report is a rise in supply, to 7.2 months at the current sales rate vs. 6.5 months in November. Reaction to today's report was muted with stocks and the dollar slipping very slightly. New home sales will be posted on Wednesday and are expected to firm following an 11 percent tumble in November.

Here is the chart:

While I am pleased with the price picture, the rest of the report was terrible, plain and simple. The only consolation is it is one month of data. That's about it.