- by New Deal democrat
Here is the update through yesterday (March 23)
In order to succeed in containing the pandemic, I believe that the US needs 2 weeks of China (nearly complete lockdown) followed by at least a month of South Korea (very aggressive and widespread testing). At minimum, that means at least 50% of the US population under lockdown and a ratio of 15:1 in tests to results showing infection. The recent exponential growth of about 35% per day must be stopped. Those three most important metrics are starred (***) below.
Comparison of rates of increase in documented infections vs. testing
Result: for the first time, testing has increased at a faster rate than infections. Testing is beginning to catch up.