The Bonddad Blog
Still nerdy after all these years
Thursday, December 13, 2018
A note on initial jobless claims
- by New Deal democrat
Initial jobless claims for last week were reported at 206,000 this morning. That is one of the lowest weekly readings during this expansion.
More significantly, the 4 week moving average is back below 10% off its low, within the range of typical noise:
And it is down -4.6% YoY, which as the below graph going back 50 years shows, is actually a quite positive reading:
I continue to expect a slowdown next year, so I am not expecting any substantial improvement in this number, but it is certainly not negative now.
New Deal democrat