Tuesday, December 13, 2011

The Myth of the Center For Freedom and Prosperity's Economic Competency

First, watch the video below.  No, really, please watch it.  Try not to laugh.



Done yet?  Good.

Now -- what's missing from the above presentation?  Anybody?  Bueller.. Bueller?

DATA.  As in there isn't any.  In a video on the Great Depression -- in a presentation on economics -- there isn't one chart, graph or picture of numbers in any way shape or form.  Gee .. I wonder why that is?  Could it be that the facts completely debunk what this morons are arguing?  Nah ... they wouldn't want to distort history for a political agenda, would they?

For those of you that what to read an exhaustive set of research on the topic, NDD and I co-authored a set of pieces at the Huffinton Post which you can see here, here, here and here.  Let me hit some of the high points.

First, here is a chart of total GDP for the US economy, inflation adjusted:


GDP dropped from 1929-1933.  Yet by 1937 the absolute level of inflation adjusted GDP was higher than 1929.  GDP dropped in 1937 because Congress went into -- wait for it -- austerity mode -- and sent the economy into recession.  The reason for the nice increase?


A very high rate of growth -- as in right around 10% for three years running and then 5%.  That's an incredibly strong rate of growth.

And no -- government did not kill investment.


Inflation adjusted real gross domestic investment dropped from 1929 to 1933, but was back to 1929 levels by 1937.


And industrial production had also returned to 1929 levels by 1937.

And the unemployment rate actually dropped from 20% to around 10% during the decade:

 

As either NDD or I wrote wrote in the piece:
(Note: the dotted line is the official current calcuation of the Historical Statistics of the United States that counts workers employed in government makework/infrastructure jobs; the solid line, commonly used by New Deal doubters, is an outdated, former series) that treated such workers, who earned a paycheck, as unemployed!)

Here's the reason for the difference in umemployment readings:
These estimates for the years prior to 1940 are intended to measure the number of persons who are totally unemployed, having no work at all. For the 1930's this concept, however, does include one large group of persons who had both work and income from work--those on emergency work. In the United States we are concerned with measuring lack of regular work and do not minimize the total by excluding persons with made work or emergency jobs. This contrasts sharply, for example, with the German practice during the 1930's when persons in the labor-force camps were classed as employed, and Soviet practice which includes employment in labor camps, if it includes it at all, as employment
The solid line -- the one the revisionists love -- still shows very solid job growth over a decade.  For unemployment to drop from 25% to 15% is a remarkable achievement.  But that number is a complete fiction as explained above.  

Oh yeah -- NDD and I spent the entire fourth article dedunking the revisionist arguments -- which are pure, USDA, grade A bullshit.

In short, the revisionist history presented by the Center for Bullshit and Propaganda's misinformation arm is an utter failure when one actually looks at the data -- something their uncritically thinking (or just plain stupid) followers will fail to do.

Here's the deal.  If you want to have a serious discussion about economics, you need to talk in the language of economics.  That means looking at charts, graphs and data.  The video presented by these yahoos is completely devoid of any hard data.  To the trained seals of the political blogshere, I'm sure it will work, especially when their readership has the IQ of an ashtray and the editors have all the intellectual heft of Mr. Magoo.  Well, homey don't play that crap.  When you have data that contradicts the above charts, please, by all means, put it up.  But until then, why not leave the heavy intellectual lifting to those who can do it  .. like one of my dogs.

PS: have a nice day. 








7 comments:

Anonymous said...

There weren't any charts and graphs and numbers because we were supposed to be looking at and thinking about Valley Girl's low cut blouse

Anonymous said...

I'm sorry, I try to watch it but my stomach hurts too much and I quit half way.

Braeburn said...

Hey big goverment lovers, have you ever read FDR, by Jean Edward Smith? Specifically page 351? If you did you would know that while FDR did usher in the New Deal that he was not in favor of burdening the tax payer with his initiatives.

Aslo, when FDR entered the picture there was little if any national debt. Also, there was a build up for this little war that was largely repsponsible for pulling the country out of it's demise.

Yes, some of FDR's initiative had a lasting, positive effect, but to equate them with the grotesquely obese posture of goverment is beginning with is to farm your facts as much as the hottie on the video did.

Braeburn said...

May I suggest you all read Decade of Delusions by Frank Martin to get a factual (even has charts and graphs)look at our situation.

BoulderPatentGuy said...

Braeburn... so, by saying that "a build up for this little war that was largely repsponsible for pulling the country out of it's demise.", you're admitting that it was the government that got us out of the depression, yes? In fact, it took the government build-up for effing WWII to get us out, that's how much we had to spend. Which, btw, put us at like 120% debt-to-GDP ratio, I believe.

So, by your own analysis, if we were to, say, provide a similar government build-up for WWIII (if it were to happen, god forbid), we would be out of the economic dull-drums were currently experiencing? I agree.

However, why must we only spend our way out of economic malise for a war? Why not do it for infrastructure or energy or ? By your own argument, such spending would help lift us out of this Great Recession, yes?

VizierVic said...

Wow, as the professor's clone from "Futurama" pronounced in an old episode, "Pure weapons-grade bullonium." After thirty years of just lying in order to promote their political agenda, the cons have piled it so deep that nobody but the deaf, dumb and blind can ignore it.

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