Thursday, August 13, 2009

Retails Sales Drop .1%



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From the Census:

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for July, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $342.3 billion, a decrease of 0.1 percent (±0.5%)* from the previous month and 8.3 percent (±0.7%) below July 2008. Total sales for the May through July 2009 period were down 9.0 percent (±0.5%) from the same period a year ago. The May to June 2009 percent change was revised from +0.6 percent (±0.5%) to +0.8 percent (±0.2%).

Retail trade sales were down 0.1 percent (±0.7%)* from June 2009 and 9.4 percent (±0.7%) below last year. Gasoline stations sales were down 32.5 percent (±1.5%) from July 2008 and building material and garden equipment and supplies dealers were down 14.7 percent (±2.0%) from last year.


I have no idea why this number seems to be generating so much buzz. Retail sales dropped .1%. If you look at the chart you'll notice two things:

1.) In the last 7 months we've had 4 increases and three decreases. Two of those decreases have been small.

2.) The year over year number still shows a bottoming trend in place.

While no one likes a decline, this one is small. And the fact that it missed analysts projections falls under the "I don't care" category.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

You are looking at the wrong number. Look at it minus the autos ( -0.6) since they were giving away money for autos.

Anonymous said...

Anonymous

You must be new to this blog, he's not looking at the wrong number. He's looking at the politically correct number.