- by New Deal democrat
This is the 4th installment of 5 graphs to watch in 2016. So far I have covered:
#5. The yield curve
#4. The trade weighted US$
#3. The inventory to sales ratio
Number 2 is a carryover from last year. While 2015 saw a big improvement in involuntary part time employment, which hopefully will continue, the number of those so discouraged that they did not even look for work, even though they want a job, went stubbornly sideways until the last quarter of 2015. It is still elevated well above its rate in the later part of the 1990s through 2007:
If the economic expansion continues, this number should improve, as more and more of these discouraged workers re-enter the labor force and actively look for, and hopefully find, work. I would like to see at least 3 months of numbers below 5.2 million before concluding that this number is no longer "poor."
#5. The yield curve
#4. The trade weighted US$
#3. The inventory to sales ratio
Number 2 is a carryover from last year. While 2015 saw a big improvement in involuntary part time employment, which hopefully will continue, the number of those so discouraged that they did not even look for work, even though they want a job, went stubbornly sideways until the last quarter of 2015. It is still elevated well above its rate in the later part of the 1990s through 2007:
If the economic expansion continues, this number should improve, as more and more of these discouraged workers re-enter the labor force and actively look for, and hopefully find, work. I would like to see at least 3 months of numbers below 5.2 million before concluding that this number is no longer "poor."
