- by New Deal democrat
My “Weekly Indicators” post is up at Seeking Alpha.
While the usual recent troika of stock market valuations, low initial jobless claims, and strong consumer spending are holding up the short leading and coincident forecasting time frames, enough deterioration has occurred in the long leading time frame to turn that neutral. This doesn’t mean that the economy ‘will’ stall in the next 12 months or so, but it does mean that the conditions are in place for a stall to be a significant possibility.
As usual, clicking over and reading will bring you up to the virtual moment as to the state of the economy, and reward me with a penny or two in my pocket for gathering and organizing the information for you.
