What does a “Recession Watch” mean?

 -by New Deal democrat

On Wednesday I went on “Recession Watch” beginning Q4 of this year.

Yesterday I explained what that means in detail over at Seeking Alpha.

So, what happens after this?

1. If the weakness persists and spreads to the short leading indicators, the “watch” turns into a.warning.
2. If the weakness abates without spreading into the short leading indicators, the “watch” is lifted.

As always, I will be relentlessly data-driven.