Thursday, November 13, 2008

Thursday Oil Market Round-Up


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Notice the following on the weekly chart:

-- Prices are approaching a three year low

-- All the SMAs are moving lower

-- The shorter SMAs are below the longer SMAs

-- Prices are below all the SMAs

BUT

-- The RSI is oversold, and

-- The MACD is approaching an oversold reading



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Notice the following on the daily chart:

-- Prices have been dropping for the last four and a half months

-- All the SMAs are moving lower

-- The shorter SMAs are below the longer SMAs

-- Prices are below all the SMAs

BUT

-- The MACD s rising, and

-- The RSI is giving an oversold reading

Bottom line: I would expect this market to rally over the next few weeks. But, this would be a bear market rally.