Let's take a deeper look into the data to see what's there. Click for a larger image.
The number of people unemployed less than 5 weeks is still decreasing.
The number of people unemployed for 5-14 weeks decreased a bit but is still high. My guess here is that we'll see this number in the above range as people who are unemployed for less than 5 weeks don't find work.
The number unemployed 15 weeks and longer edged up.
The median weeks on unemployment increased but is still below the high of the cycle.
What I find interesting is the short end of the unemployment cycle -- people unemployed for less than 5 weeks -- continues to drop and has been dropping since the beginning of the year.