Tuesday, March 24, 2009

Transportation Not Looking So Rosy

From Reuters:

World airlines are set to lose $4.7 billion this year as a result of the global recession that has shrunk passenger and cargo demand, industry body IATA said.

The International Air Transport Association had estimated in December the industry would lose $2.5 billion in 2009.

"The state of the airline industry today is grim. Demand has deteriorated much more rapidly with the economic slowdown than could have been anticipated even a few months ago," Director-General Giovanni Bisignani said on Tuesday.

"The relief of lower fuel prices is overshadowed by falling demand and plummeting revenues. The industry is in intensive care."

IATA, which represents 230 airlines including British Airways (BAY.L), Cathay Pacific (0293.HK), United Airlines (UAUA.O), and Emirates (EMIRA.UL), also raised its estimate of international airline losses in 2008 to $8.5 billion, from its previous $8 billion estimate.


And consider this table from the Association of American Railroads:



Click for a larger image

We'll need better news from the transportation sector before we can say the economy is moving at top speed.