The Bonddad Blog
Still nerdy after all these years
Friday, November 7, 2008
Weekend Weimer and Beagle
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It has been one hell of a week. So it's time to take a break and do anything except think about the market. In that vein, here are som...
The Detroit Death March Continues
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From Reuters: Ford Motor Co posted a deeper-than-expected $2.98 billion quarterly operating loss on Friday and told investors it would take ...
Employment Down 240,000
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From the BLS: Nonfarm payroll employment fell by 240,000 in October, and the unemployment rate rose from 6.1 to 6.5 percent, the Bureau of ...
Forex Friday
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Click for a larger image Notice the following on the weekly dollar chart: -- Prices formed a double bottom in 2008 with the first bottom occ...
Thursday, November 6, 2008
Today's Markets
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The triangle consolidation that occurred in October looked like a bottoming pattern. However, today's action leads to an alternate conc...
Retail Sales Disappoint
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From the WSJ: U.S. retailers largely reported October sales declines in a month that saw consumer confidence plunge amid the nation's fi...
Federal Debt Could Constrain Obama's Plans
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From the WSJ: The Treasury Department laid out near-term borrowing plans Wednesday, saying it expects to tap financial markets for $550 bill...
Thursday Oil Market Round-Up
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Click for a larger image Notice the following on the weekly chart: -- Prices have dropped nearly 60% since the market top near $1450/bbl. I...
Wednesday, November 5, 2008
Today's Markets
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Big sell-off today, but consider the bigger picture. -- Prices have broken out of the triangle consolidation pattern established in October ...
So -- What Are People Buying These Days?
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Last Friday the BEA released the personal income and expenditure report. I wanted to dig a bit deeper into the data to see what it says. F...
A Closer Look At the Last 4 Quarters of GDP Growth
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Click for a larger image. The BEA breaks down GDP data into four subsets. Here is the list with the percentage each contributes to GDP grow...
Wednesday Commodities Round-Up
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Notice the following on the weekly chart: -- Prices clearly broke through the uptrend started in mid-2007 -- Prices are below all the SMAs -...
Tuesday, November 4, 2008
Today's Markets
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The post break-out rally from the consolidation pattern continues. In addition, note the following: -- Prices are above the 10 and 20 day S...
How Long Will the Recession Last?
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My own view is the recession started in the first quarter of this year. While the economy was growing at a .9% annual clip at that time, th...
The Detroit Death March Continues
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From the WSJ: "In my 27 years, I have never seen a month like this," said GM sales chief Mark LaNeve. "It was like somebody t...
Treasury Tuesdays
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First, please vote today. Secondly, let's look at the Treasury market. I use the IEF -- the ETF that represents the 7-10 year of the cu...
Monday, November 3, 2008
Today's Markets
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On the daily chart, note the followingl BULLISH: -- Prices are above the 10 and 20 day SMA -- The 10 day SMA is moving wideways BEARISH: -- ...
Nothing Good in Today's Economic Reports
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From Bloomberg: The Institute for Supply Management's factory index fell to 38.9 from 43.5 in September; 50 is the dividing line between...
Are we Fairly Valued or Cheap?
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From this week's Barron's: In a recent research note, you wrote: "I remain bullish and wrong." Is that still your sentimen...
Market Mondays
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Let's start the week with a look at the markets. Let's begin with a long view. I always consider these to be "you are here...
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