Saturday, March 29, 2025

Weekly Indicators for March 24 - 28 at Seeking Alpha

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   - by New Deal democrat My “Weekly Indicators” post is up at Seeking Alpha. The most important news in high frequency data was that we no...
Friday, March 28, 2025

Real income, spending, saving, and sales continue to be expansionary

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    - by New Deal democrat Real income and spending are two of the most important indicators of the well-being of the consumer. With the gen...
Thursday, March 27, 2025

Long leading indicators update: corporate profits in Q4 2024

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   - by New Deal democrat Corporate profits are a long leading indicator, as they typically turn down at least one year before the onset of ...

Jobless claims continue higher YoY, but not recessionary

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   - by New Deal democrat  This week’s look at initial jobless claims includes seasonal revisions made to the data for the last five years....
Wednesday, March 26, 2025

Manufacturers continue to front-run tariffs, with no weakness in new orders

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 - by New Deal democrat Last week I explored how past episodes of sharp increases in politic uncertainty, and decreases in consumer confiden...
Tuesday, March 25, 2025

The housing market continues its slow rebalancing: new and existing home sales rangebound, price pressures including Case Shiller and FHFA steady

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   - by New Deal democrat Since new home sales as well as the repeat sales price indexes were both reported this morning, let’s update the e...
Monday, March 24, 2025

A “quick and dirty” update: the employment is historically very weak

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   - by New Deal democrat There’s no significant economic reports today, and even most of the high frequency indicators won’t start coming i...
Saturday, March 22, 2025

Weekly Indicators for March 17 - 21 at Seeking Alpha

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   - by New Deal democrat My “Weekly Indicators” post is up at Seeking Alpha . The biggest change this week, as I wrote yesterday, was the s...
Friday, March 21, 2025

Regional new orders deteriorate; sales still lead inventories

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   - by New Deal democrat No significant new economic news today, so let me follow up on Wednesday’s post about production and sales. The ...