Saturday, September 26, 2020

Weekly Indicators for September 21 - 25 at Seeking Alpha

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   - by New Deal democrat My Weekly Indicators post is up at Seeking Alpha . While the underlying economic data still looks positive, the po...
Friday, September 25, 2020

New home sales confirm housing surge

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   - by New Deal democrat Yesterday new home sales were reported at a 10 year+ high, as were existing home sales earlier in the week. This a...

Demographics, full-spectrum State by State polling reports for the Presidential election

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    - by New Deal democrat A couple of interesting items were reported yesterday in terms of the actual *election* in the Presidential elect...
Thursday, September 24, 2020

Initial jobless claims rise slightly, while continuing claims decline - both at still awful levels

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   - by New Deal democrat This morning’s jobless claims report indicated that the trend of “less worse” news is at best continuing at a snai...
Wednesday, September 23, 2020

Coronavirus dashboard for September 23: a pandemic course veering between panic and complacency

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   - by New Deal democrat Total US confirmed infections:  6,896,218* Infections, average last 7 days: 43,411 Total US deaths: 200,786 Deaths...
Tuesday, September 22, 2020

Why compromise is so difficult: for most people, social issues are moral issues

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 - by New Deal democrat Kevin Drum makes a point this morning that I want to expand upon:     These are hardly tremendous odds against Democ...
Monday, September 21, 2020

A macro view of how the 2020 Presidential election differs from 2016

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    - by New Deal democrat This is a light week for economic data, so don’t be surprised if I take a break for a day or two. In the meantime...
Sunday, September 20, 2020

The 2020 Presidential and Senate polling nowcast: shift in the control of the Senate to democrats looks increasingly likely

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   - by New Deal democrat Here is my weekly update on the 2020 elections, based on State rather than national polling in the past 30 days, ...
Saturday, September 19, 2020

Weekly Indicators for September 14 - 18 at Seeking Alpha

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   - by New Deal democrat My Weekly Indicators post is up at Seeking Alpha . While the forecasts and the nowcasts remain positive, for the s...
Friday, September 18, 2020

August housing permits and starts bode well for 2021 economy

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   - by New Deal democrat As I mentioned yesterday, August housing starts and permits were reported. Since they are important long leading i...
Thursday, September 17, 2020

2019: the year that the late economic expansion finally bore fruit for nearly all of society

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    - by New Deal democrat Yesterday the Census Bureau released its 2019 information concerning median household income and poverty rates. U...

Weekly jobless claims: “less worse” trend resumes

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   - by New Deal democrat This morning’s jobless claims report indicated that the trend of “less worse” news, which had temporarily ended, ...
Wednesday, September 16, 2020

Real retail sales gains join industrial production in sharp deceleration

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 - by New Deal democrat Yesterday we saw that gains in industrial production had decelerated sharply in August. This morning we saw the s...
Tuesday, September 15, 2020

Industrial production improves in August, but with sharp deceleration

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 - by New Deal democrat If the jobs report is the Queen of Coincident Indicators, industrial production is the King. It, more than any ot...
Monday, September 14, 2020

Coronavirus dashboard for September 14: cases in the Midwest surge; the Northeast still lags Canada

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 - by New Deal democrat Total US cases: 6,519,573 Average cases last 7 days: 34,744 Total US deaths: 194,071 Average deaths last 7...
Sunday, September 13, 2020

The 2020 Presidential and Senate nowcast: the races congeal

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  - by New Deal democrat Here is my weekly update on the 2020 elections, based on State rather than national polling in the past 30 days,...