Saturday, July 4, 2020

Frederick Douglass’s oration on the 4th of July (abridged)

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 - by New Deal democrat The middle portion of Douglass’s famous speech, delivered in 1852 to white abolitionists in Rochester, NY, where ...
Friday, July 3, 2020

Initial and continued claims show stalling progress in rehiring

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 - by New Deal democrat Weekly initial and continuing jobless claims give us the most up-to-date  snapshot of the continuing  economic im...
Thursday, July 2, 2020

June jobs report: the last hurrah of the wished-for “V-shaped” coronavirus recovery

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 - by New Deal democrat HEADLINES : 4,800,000 million jobs added. This makes up about 22% of the 22.1 million job losses in March and...
Wednesday, July 1, 2020

June data starts out with a bright spot in manufacturing

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 - by New Deal democrat Earlier this week the last of the regional Fed Districts, Dallas, reported their manufacturing indexes for June...
Monday, June 29, 2020

Coronavirus dashboard for June 29: renewed exponential growth in infections, decline in deaths has stalled

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  - by New Deal democrat Total US infections: 2,549,069,  42,161 in last day Total US deaths: 125,803,  273 in last day Here is the r...
Sunday, June 28, 2020

The US Presidential election as forecast by State polling: tending towards a Biden blowout?

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 - by New Deal democrat Last week I posted a projection of the Electoral College vote based solely on State rather than national polls...
Saturday, June 27, 2020

Coronavirus dashboard for June 27: infections -> hospitalizations -> deaths

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 - by New Deal democrat Total US infections: 2,480,786,  44,373 new cases Total US deaths: 125,120,  619 new deaths A quandary over the ...

Weekly Indicators for June 22 - 26 at Seeking Alpha

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  - by New Deal democrat My Weekly Indicators post is up at Seeking Alpha . The coincident indicators, as well as the short leading indic...
Friday, June 26, 2020

All 4 coincident indicators of recession improved in May vs. April

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 - by New Deal democrat With this morning’s release of personal income and spending, we now have all 4 coincident indicators for May that...
Thursday, June 25, 2020

Initial jobless claims improve slightly; continuing claims resume decline

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 - by New Deal democrat Weekly initial and continuing jobless claims give us the most up-to-date  snapshot of the continuing  economic im...
Wednesday, June 24, 2020

Housing rebounded sharply in May

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  - by New Deal democrat One aspect of the economy that is important in terms of how well things will go once the pandemic ultimately rec...
Tuesday, June 23, 2020

Coronavirus dashboard for June 23: focusing on deaths, and the Trumpist South and Southwest

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 - by New Deal democrat Confirmed total US infections: 2,312,302. (+31,433 in past 24 hours) Confirmed total US deaths: 120,402 (+425 i...
Monday, June 22, 2020

Coronavirus dashboard for June 22: a pandemic newly focused on the young appears to be changing the dynamics

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 - by New Deal democrat Confirmed US coronavirus infections: 2,280,969 Confirmed US coronavirus deaths: 119,977 The 7 day average of ...
Sunday, June 21, 2020

The 2020 Presidential election as forecast by State polling

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 - by New Deal democrat As we all know, in the US Presidential election national polls are of limited use, as the election is actually de...