The Bonddad Blog

Still nerdy after all these years

Saturday, April 13, 2019

Weekly Indicators for April 8 - 12 at Seeking Alpha

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 - by New Deal democrat My Weekly Indicators post is  up at Seeking Alpha . Lower interest rates have to some extent been offset by wea...
Friday, April 12, 2019

The economy in 2019: a look at the “big picture”

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 - by New Deal democrat Although I have a bunch of nerdy forecasting models, I view my primary mission as trying to explain what is goin...
Thursday, April 11, 2019

February JOLTS: a mirror of the poor jobs report

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 - by New Deal democrat The JOLTS report on labor is noteworthy and helpful because it breaks down the jobs market into a more granular...
Wednesday, April 10, 2019

Real wages got gassed in March

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 - by New Deal democrat The consumer price index rose +0.4% in March, mainly as a result of a big monthly increase in gas prices. That ...
Tuesday, April 9, 2019

Downturn in manufacturing new orders adds to evidence of slowdown

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 - by New Deal democrat I don’t normally pay much attention to the new factory orders report, because it is simply too noisy to be of muc...
Monday, April 8, 2019

I told you so: the March employment report showed a slowdown in the leading sectors

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 - by New Deal democrat For the past few months, I have been forecasting a jobs slowdown. That has been based in part on the natural pro...
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