The Bonddad Blog

 - by New Deal democrat My Weekly Indicators post is  up at Seeking Alpha . Evidence of the government shutdown may have shown up in ta...

 - by New Deal democrat Industrial production for December was reported this morning at +0.3%, slightly better than estimates. But what ...

 - by New Deal democrat In all of the storm und drang about yield curve inversions in the bond market, one important and overlooked conse...

 - by New Deal democrat I have a post on the housing market pending at Seeking Alpha. If and when it goes up there, I will link to it he...

 - by New Deal democrat First, a quick site note. I am blogging from a new device, and since I am a fossil, that means the transition i...

 - by New Deal democrat The government shutdown is affecting some important economic indicators. All of the series published by the Cens...

 - by New Deal democrat My Weekly Indicators post is  up at Seeking Alpha . Recent gyrations have changed both the short and long term...

 - by New Deal democrat Now that December inflation has been reported as down -0.1%, with YoY consumer inflation a paltry +1.9%, let...

 - by New Deal democrat There isn't any significant economic news today, and there have been some developments of note in the stando...

-  by New Deal democrat The JOLTS report on labor is noteworthy and helpful because it breaks down the jobs market into a more gr...

 - b y New Deal democrat ... is up  at Seeking Alpha . I've been using the "K.I.S.S." method for nearly a decade, and it ...

 - by New Deal democrat When it comes to jobs, if there is one trend that really set apart 2018 from any prior year of this expansi...

 - by New Deal democrat Forgot to do this earlier .... My Weekly Indicator posts is  up at Seeking Alpha . The way that interest rate...

 -  by New Deal democrat HEADLINES : +312,000 jobs added U3 unemployment rate rose +0.2% from 3.7% to 3.9%  U6 underemployment rate u...

 - by New Deal democrat I need to publish my first half forecast for 2019, but before I do, I want to see how a few leading indicator...

 - by New Deal democrat A month ago, when the 2- through 5-year bond yield curve first inverted, I wrote that while it might be a case...

  - by New Deal democrat Best wishes for a happy, healthy, and prosperious New Year in 2019! This year is shaping up to be a much more ...

  - by New Deal democrat It's pretty clear that the House GOP has decided to simply punt the government shutdown into the new Democr...

 - by New Deal democrat My Weekly Indicators column is  Up at Seeking Alpha . Ideally a change in trend in the long leading indicators ...

At the beginning of every year, I give a forecast for each of the two halves of the year. And at the end of each year, I look back and mark...