Saturday, July 14, 2018

Weekly Indicators for July 9 - 13 at Seeking Alpha

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 - by New Deal democrat My Weekly Indicators post is  up at Seeking Alpha . The biggest story continues to be what is happening with t...
Friday, July 13, 2018

Real average and aggregate wages: July 2018 update

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 - by New Deal democrat As we close out this week devoted to jobs and wages, with the consumer price index having been reported yesterd...
Thursday, July 12, 2018

A (mainly) business cycle explanation for this year's better jobs growth

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 - by New Deal democrat The pace of job creation declined from averaging over 200,000 a month between Q2 2014 through Q2 2015 to 180,00...
Wednesday, July 11, 2018

May JOLTS report: as good as could be asked for

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 - by New Deal democrat The simple take on yesterday's JOLTS report for May is that it was excellent: Hires made a new high Quit...
Tuesday, July 10, 2018

A business cycle theory of labor force participation and wage growth

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 - by New Deal democrat I've devoted a lot of time and thought, and typed a lot of pixels of commentary, about wage growth in the l...
Monday, July 9, 2018

A teaser about wages and labor force participation

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 - by New Deal democrat I was going to put up a short piece about wages this morning, but it has turned into a longer, more compreh...
Sunday, July 8, 2018

Understanding the simple strategy for the 2018 elections

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 - by New Deal democrat It's Sunday, so I feel free to stray from nerdy economics .... Pretend for a moment that you are a poli...
Saturday, July 7, 2018

Weekly Indicators for July 2 - 6: long term forecast continues to deteriorate

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 - by New Deal democrat June data started out with another strong jobs report, but once again with weak wage growth. Motor vehicle sales...
Friday, July 6, 2018

June jobs report: another strong late cycle reading

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 - by New Deal democrat HEADLINES : +213,000 jobs added U3 unemployment rate up +0.2% from 3.8% to 4.0% U6 underemployment rate up ...