The Bonddad Blog

 - by New Deal democrat My Weekly Indicators post is  up at XE.com . Last week interest rates declined but spreads tightened. This wee...

- by New Deal democrat HEADLINES : +103,000 jobs added U3 unemployment rate unchanged at 4.1% U6 underemployment rate fell -0.2% fr...

 - by New Deal democrat April reports started out this week with three positive readings of short leading indicators. First, the...

 - by New Deal democrat ADP reported private payroll growth of 241,000 this morning, which prompted me to recall that two other shor...

 - by New Deal democrat Yesterday's February report on private residential construction spending is of particular importance to the ...

 - by New Deal democrat When the Fed embarked on its tightening several years ago, I likened it to trying to steer between the Scylla of ...

 - by New Deal democrat The National Snow and Ice Data Center  reports that the peak in arctic ice cover this winter was the secon...

  - by New Deal democrat My Weekly Indicators post is  up at XE.com . Long bond rates delined this week (YAAAY!!) but since short rates...

 - by New Deal democrat Personal income and spending data from February intimates a weak Q1 GDP report, but doesn't suggest any imm...

 - by New Deal democrat I have updates on several recent posts, on my long term 2018 forecast, and whether the "economic season...

- by New Deal democrat An initial note: this is a pretty slow news week. I do plan on a housing roundup over at XE, and if something ...

 - by New Deal democrat I read a Pew Research study a few days ago with a startling statistic: aside from self-identified Republicans, t...

  - by New Deal democrat My Weekly Indicators post is  up at XE.com . The long leading forecast continues to hover just above neutral, ...

 - by New Deal democrat There's a real disconnect between the market for new and existing homes.  To cut to the chase, while sa...

 - by New Deal democrat There has been an inversion in the *direction* in which yields in long vs. short term bonds are moving. I exam...

  - by New Deal democrat About a year ago I wrote a series of posts on various reasons for the relatively low labor force participat...

 -  by New Deal democrat Last Friday's JOLTS report for January included some important revisions, particularly with regard to hiri...

 - by New Deal democrat In the wake of Conor Lamb's election victory in Pennsylvania last Tuesday night, some Democratic partisans a...

  - by New Deal democrat My Weekly Indicators post is  up at XE.com . This week most of the data that has been decelerating turned in a...

 - by New Deal democrat This is one of those days when it seems every piece of economic data in the whole world is getting reported simu...