The Bonddad Blog

Still nerdy after all these years

Saturday, April 8, 2017

Weekly Indicators for April 3 - 7 at XE.com

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  - by New Deal democrat My Weekly Indicators post is  up at XE.com . The thesis that trouble in the brick and mortar retail sector mea...

Hot Air "Econ" Bloggers: Still Dumber Than a Box of Rocks

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     Thanks to a very busy work schedule, I've had less time to monitor and write about the "analysts" at Hot Air.  But, now ...
Friday, April 7, 2017

March jobs report: participation up, unemployment down, wage growth miserly

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- by New Deal democrat HEADLINES : +98,000 jobs added U3 unemployment rate down 0.2% from 4.7% to 4.5% U6 underemployment rate down ...
Thursday, April 6, 2017

The return of the Doomers: OMG it's a slight pullback!

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 - by New Deal democrat There finally was enough of a soft patch in the data for the Doomers to raise their heads out of the peepholes.  ...
Wednesday, April 5, 2017

Jamie Dimon on labor force participatioin and disability

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  - by New Deal democrat First of all, sorry for the light posting this week.  I've had some urgent business I need to attend to irl....
Sunday, April 2, 2017

My Weekly Columns Are Up At XE.com

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US Equity Market Week in Review US Bond Market Week in Review International Week in Review
Saturday, April 1, 2017

Weekly Indicators for March 27 - 31 at XE.com

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  - by New Deal democrat The vast majority of all indicators remain very positive.  This post is  up at XE.com
Friday, March 31, 2017

Positive Q4 2016 profits help long term outlook

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 - by New Deal democrat Corporate profits are a long leading indicator, but they are reported with a long lag. So Q4 2016 profits were f...
Thursday, March 30, 2017

Does productivity growth lead to wage growth? "Not really, no."

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 - by New Deal democrat I've seen a few articles recently claiming that low wage growth is because productivity by workers has been ...
Wednesday, March 29, 2017

Wage growth and labor force participation: a Big Picture summation

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 - by New Deal democrat The jobs and wages of average Americans is a major focus of my blogging, since they are a major component of Ame...
Tuesday, March 28, 2017

Variations on the Phillips curve: labor force participation and wage growth

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 - by New Deal democrat Over the last month or so, in a few posts I have looked at the relationship between labor force participati...
Sunday, March 26, 2017

My Weekly Columns Are Up At XE.com

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US Equity and Economic Week in Review US Bond Market Week in Review International Week in Review

A thought for Sunday: Thank You, Freedom Caucus!!! Plus, Democats should offer a plan to "Reform and Improve" Obamacare

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  - by New Deal democrat First of all, thank the Great Flying Spaghetti Monster for the GOP's Freedom Caucus!!! They have been the b...
Saturday, March 25, 2017

Weekly Indicators for March 20 - 24 at XE.com

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  - by New Deal democrat My Weekly Indicators post is  up at XE.com . Among the entire array of indicators, only 3 were negatives this ...
Friday, March 24, 2017

Leading housing data continues to be positive

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  - by New Deal democrat We now have all of the February housing sales data.  With the exception of the least important series, the trend...
Thursday, March 23, 2017

Variations on the Phillips Curve: unemployment and underemployment

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 - by New Deal democrat This is part of a longer post I wanted to write, and if FRED didn't play so poorly with iPad I would put...
Wednesday, March 22, 2017

A look at yield curve compression

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 - by New Deal democrat Since the mid-1950s, an inverted yield curve has been perhaps the single most deadly harbinger of a recessio...
Tuesday, March 21, 2017

What's behind stalled nonsupervisory wage growth?

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 - by New Deal democrat Wage growth for nonsupervisory workers nominally has been stuck in the +2.3% to +2.5% range (or worse) for thre...
Monday, March 20, 2017

My Weekly Columns Are Up at XE

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US Bond Market Week in Review US Equity Market Week in Review International Week in Review
Saturday, March 18, 2017

Weekly Indicators for March 13 - 17 at XE.com

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 - by New Deal democrat My Weekly Indicators post is  up at XE.com .  This week it is pretty self-explanatory.  Nearly all short leading...
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