Saturday, February 4, 2017

Weekly Indicators for January 30 - Februrary 3 at XE.com

›
 - by New Deal democrat My Weekly Indicators post is  up at XE.com . Deceleration in several positive indicators has continued, while c...
Friday, February 3, 2017

January jobs report: good headline, but participation and wages lag

›
- by New Deal democrat HEADLINES : +227,000 jobs added U3 unemployment rate up +0.1% from 4.7% to 4.8% U6 underemployment rate up +0...
Thursday, February 2, 2017

This is what economic Indian summer looks like

›
 - by New Deal democrat One of the best calls I made a year ago was to forecast that the "shallow industrial recession" wo...

Bank of England Predicts Inflation Will Overshoot Their 2% Target

›
This is over at XE.com
Wednesday, February 1, 2017

A Not So Gentle Reminder to Republicans About Their Obstruction of President Obama From Day 1

›
I was against the Iraq war for two reasons. First, the Bush administration’s argument that oil revenue would pay for the war effort seemed ...

Increasing Mortgage Rates May Increase Downward Pressure on Housing Demand

›
Today, the Financial Times reported that mortgage rates hit a 2017 high .   The following chart from the St. Louis FRED's system is a bi...
Tuesday, January 31, 2017

My second half forecast for 2017

›
 - by New Deal democrat I already have said that the economy will remain quite positive in the first six months of this year. My forec...

Jazz Shaw: Economic Moron of the Highest Order

›
     Here's the title of a recent Jazz Shaw piece: "And Starbucks wonders why their sales are flat." Any competent economic ...
Monday, January 30, 2017

About the Trump stock market surge. Corporate insiders ...

›
 - by New Deal democrat Donald Trump might want to stop touting how well the stock market has been doing since his election. Here is Ba...
Sunday, January 29, 2017

A thought for Sunday: of heartlessness, confidence and conviction

›
 - by New Deal democrat First of all, let me join in full in the following from Calculated Risk : These are not normal times, and I c...
Saturday, January 28, 2017

Weekly Indicators for January 23 - 27at XE.com

›
 - by New Deal democrat My Weekly Indicators post is  up at XE.com . Midrange indicators remain strong. Long leading indicators are ve...
Friday, January 27, 2017

Q4 GDP: and the news from the long leading indicators is . . .

›
  - by New Deal democrat I discuss the two long leading indicators found in this morning's GDP release, as well as further informatio...

In case you thought Trump was imploding . . .

›
 - by New Deal democrat For those of you who may be cocooned in the liberal blogosphere, I'm afraid I must administer a cold slap in ...
Thursday, January 26, 2017

Dear Prof. DeLong: wherein I say you are wrong, trade agreements have harmed manufacturing employment. I: Germany actually undercuts your case

›
  - by New Deal democrat Prof. Brad DeLong in an article earlier this week made a bold claim:  that " US trade agreements have not s...

Site note

›
 - by New Deal democrat My apologies for the lack of posting this week.  The proprietor of this here site is enjoying a cruise to an Und...
Monday, January 23, 2017

Newt Gingrich is right

›
 - by New Deal democrat Yeah, I know, stopped clock and all that. But Newt Gingrich summed up what is going to matter for a Trump Pr...
Sunday, January 22, 2017

Real aggregate wage growth: Barack Obama's final record

›
 - by New Deal democrat Particularly in view of the massive protests yesterday, which were probably the biggest grassroots protests in U...
Saturday, January 21, 2017

Weekly Indicators for January 16 - 20 at XE.com

›
 - by New Deal democrat My Weekly Indicators post is  up at XE.com . Consumer spending measures have really softened. Two of the three...
Friday, January 20, 2017

The labor force participation rate vs. the unemployment rate

›
 - by New Deal democrat This is the third of four installments looking at whether and by how much people get drawn into the labor fo...
Thursday, January 19, 2017

December housing permits report: good news

›
 - by New Deal democrat The December housing permits report this morning portends good news for the economy in 2017 for several reasons....