Saturday, December 31, 2016

Weekly Indicators for December 26 - 30 at XE.com

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 - by New Deal democrat My Weekly Indicators post is  Up at XE.com . Interest came down off recent highs to end the year. See you ag...
Friday, December 30, 2016

Marking my 2016 forecast to market

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(Plus a pyrrhic political presidential prediction)  - by New Deal democrat How did my economic forecast for2016, made one year ago, pan...

Will the Energy Sector Outperform in 2017?

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From the Dallas Fed: Business activity continued to increase in the fourth quarter, according to oil and gas executives responding to t...
Thursday, December 29, 2016

Year end look at housing 2016

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 - by New Deal democrat I have the latest updated look at this leading economic sector  Up at XE.com .
Wednesday, December 28, 2016

Potential Risks to the U.S. Economy in 2017

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This is up at XE.com

Is A Housing Slowdown Coming?

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From Reuters: Contracts to buy previously owned U.S. homes fell in November to their lowest level in nearly a year, a sign rising interest...
Tuesday, December 27, 2016

Post-Election Consumer and Business Confidence Increase

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The following is from the Conference Board: Consumers’ assessment of current conditions declined in December. Those saying business cond...
Saturday, December 24, 2016

Weekly Indicators for December 19 - 23 at XE.com

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 - by New Deal democrat My Weekly Indicators column is  up at XE.com . There has really been a shift in much of the data since the pres...

How Long Until John Hinderaker Writes Similar Praise of Trump?

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     Merriam-Webster offers the following definition and example of the word  Sycophant: 1.) a servile self-seeking flatterer Parasite, ...
Wednesday, December 21, 2016

The post-election interest rate spike isn't signaling a recession -- yet

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 - by New Deal democrat This post is up over at XE.com  . XE is currently having a problem posting images.  So here are the three...

Thoughts on Post-Election Industry Movement

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The above table from Stockcharts.com shows the post-election percentage change in the largest sector ETFs.  Here are some thoughts on...
Monday, December 19, 2016

Energy Inflation Is Increasing and May Place the Fed in a Policy Bind Next year

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Energy Inflation is increasing: Saudi Arabia's massive production cut in 2014 sent oil prices lower, causing a large econom...
Sunday, December 18, 2016

"Those who cannot see must feel"

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 - by New Deal democrat That's the translation of an old German saying that I used to hear from my grandmother when I misbehaved.  It...
Saturday, December 17, 2016

Weekly Indicators for December 12 - 16 at XE.com

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 - by New Deal democrat My Weekly Indicators post is  up at XE.com . As usual for this time of year, there is lots of seasonal volatili...

Tell Me Again How Oil Extraction Is the Panacea for Employment Growth?

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The top chart shows the total number of employees in the oil extraction area.  Yes, it increased from 120,000-200,000 between 2005...
Friday, December 16, 2016

November housing permits continue positive news

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 - by New Deal democrat This is one of those days where the St. Louis FRED is slow adding the new data, so no snazzy graphs, BUT ... ...
Thursday, December 15, 2016

More evidence 2017 will feature late cycle inflation

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  - by New Deal democrat Yesterday's Fed rate hike and this morning's CPI both support the idea that 2017 is likely to feature ty...
Wednesday, December 14, 2016

A Conservative Commentator's Technical Analysis of the SPYs

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Tuesday, December 13, 2016

2016 Economic Year in Review and 2017 Projection

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This is up at XE.com
Sunday, December 11, 2016

Five graphs for 2016: final update

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 - by New Deal democrat At the beginning of this year, I identified graphs of 5 aspects of the economy that I particularly wanted to wat...