The Bonddad Blog

Still nerdy after all these years

Saturday, June 18, 2016

Weekly Indicators for June 13 - 17 at XE.com

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 - by New Deal democrat My Weekly Indicators post is  up at XE.com .  A few things deteriorated slightly this weei, and several improved ...
Friday, June 17, 2016

The consumer is still all right

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 - by New Deal democrat With May's CPI reported, I can now update real retail sales and real retail sales per capita. The former...
Wednesday, June 15, 2016

Whither the shallow industrial recession?

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 - by New Deal democrat I have a new post  up at XE.com , examining yesterday and today's manufacturing and production data.  The bad...
Tuesday, June 14, 2016

Final business and retail sales add to evidence suggesting shallow industrial recession has bottomed

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 - by New Deal democrat Today began a 3 day blizzard of manufacturing and sales data spanning April to June.  This morning we got total busi...

Bonddad Tuesday Linkfest

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The Yield Curve Spread Points to Slow Growth The 30-2 year spread is Near a 5-Year Low The 10-2 year spread is Near a 5 Year ...
Monday, June 13, 2016

A note on personal withholding taxes

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 - by New Deal democrat Last Friday I wrote a piece dissecting the latest graph in Doomer porn, which purported to show that persona...

Bonddad Monday Linkfest

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I don't remember the source, but several years ago I remember reading that a Chinese official stated he only looked at the growth of Chi...
Sunday, June 12, 2016

My Weekly Reviews Are Up At XE.com

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International Economic Week in Review US Bond Market Week in Review US Equity Market Week in Review
Saturday, June 11, 2016

Weekly Indicators for June 6 - 10 at XE.com

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  - by New Deal democrat You know how temp hiring is a leading indicator for hiring overall?  And temp jobs have been in decline since De...
Friday, June 10, 2016

Dissectlng the Doomer porn du Jour

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 - by New Deal democrat Let me preface this post by noting that unlike the past 6 years, those who believe we are in a recession this...

April JOLTS report: mature cycle deceleration, again

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 - by New Deal demorat Wednesday's JOLTs report (note: for April) gives us a more granular look at the jobs market.  For most o...

Bonddad Thursday Linkfest

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Recession Watch (Econbrowser) While most series are still rising, as of latest reported observations, the decline in industrial...
Thursday, June 9, 2016

Valero's Earnings Miss Creates a Buying Opportunity

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This investment has risk.  It's certainly not for everyone.  Please talk to a professional before doing anything.  And, perhaps most im...
Wednesday, June 8, 2016

Maybe It's Time to Be Concerned About the Jobs Market

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Employment statistics are a very noisy data series.  So it's best to look at their longer term performance to get an idea of their o...

Bonddad Wednesday Linkgfest

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EU GDP Rises .6% Daily Chart of IEV ETF Candleglance Charts of Largest EU Area ETFs Global Stimulus I...
Tuesday, June 7, 2016

The Labor Market Conditions Index: no, we're still not DOOMED

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 - by New Deal democrat I have a new post  up at XE.com , taking an extended look at the Labor Market Conditions Index and comparing it w...

Bonddad Tuesday Linkfest

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US Pays Three Times The Price For Cancer Meds (FT) In the US, the median monthly price of branded cancer drugs, which are still prote...
Monday, June 6, 2016

The 2016 Election Economy: the indicators so far

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 - by New Deal democrat Beginning last summer, I wrote a series of articles on "Forecasting the 2016 election economy."  N...

Bonddad Monday Linkfest

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Bespokes' Table of ETF Performances Daily Chart of the UNG ETF Capital Spectator on the Jobs Report Note,...
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