Saturday, November 15, 2014

Weekly Indicators for November 10 - 14 at XE.com

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  - by New Deal democrat My Weekly Indicators piece is  up at XE.com . More softness has shown up in coincident indicators.

US Equity Market Review For the Week of November 17-21

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     One month ago, traders had re-examined their risk calculus and determined that equities were too risky, sending shares lower and the vi...
Friday, November 14, 2014

Gas price declines power consumers in October

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  - by New Deal democrat I have a new post  up at XE.com  on this morning's retail sales number. This is our first indication of ho...
Thursday, November 13, 2014

Jobs and wages graphapalooza!

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  - by New Deal democrat At the end of the day, the economy ought to operate to bring the most benefit to the most people.  Jobs and wage...

The mighty Krgthulu has spoken: median income =/= median wages

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  - by New Deal democrat I've called median household income The most misused statstic  in the econoblogosphere.  People routinely ci...
Tuesday, November 11, 2014

Making the case that the consumer is slowing down

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 - by New Deal democrat A year ago, based on the long leading indicators at the time, I thought the economy would be in the midst of a sl...

It's (also) the interest rates, stupid!

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  - by New Deal democrat You know the old saw, "it's the economy, stupid!"  Both  Robert Reich  and  Atrios  have boiled l...
Sunday, November 9, 2014

A thought for Sunday: the importance of state-level third parties

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  - by New Deal democrat [You know the drill. It's Sunday.  Regular nerdy economic blogging will resume tomorrow.  And be sure to rea...

US Equity Market Summary For The Week of November 3-7

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At the end of last week's column, I make the following observation: So, in conclusion, we're where we were a few weeks ago: a mark...
Saturday, November 8, 2014

Weekly Indicators for November 3 - 7 at XE.com

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  - by New Deal democrat My Weekly Indicator post is  up at XE.com . Global weakness is affecting US data at the margins.
Friday, November 7, 2014

Four important graphs about jobs for October 2014

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  - by New Deal democrat As you know, since the expansion in jobs is firmly in place, recently I have turned my attention to metrics of u...

October jobs report: solid improvement, except for discouraged workers

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- by New Deal democrat HEADLINES : 214,000 jobs added to the economy U3 unemployment rate fell from 5.9% to 5.8% Wages and participa...
Thursday, November 6, 2014

Hmmmm... I see a pattern here

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  - by New Deal democrat [Note:  regular economic blogging will resume with the Jobs Report tomorrow morning] Gloria Borger, CNN : N...

Unit labor costs flat

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  - by New Deal democrat This morning the BLS reported Unit Labor Costs. This measures how productive labor is, by measuring it per unit ...
Wednesday, November 5, 2014

A disengaged oil choke collar + rising wage growth is almost pure good news

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  - by New Deal democrat I have a new post  up at XE.com .  Falling commodity (gas) prices plus rising wages has been a sure sign of cont...

A little post-election-day economic balm

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  - by New Deal democrat Perchance you would like  to ponder something  other than politics  this morning.  In that case, let me offer yo...
Monday, November 3, 2014

Initial jobless claims forecast 280,000 +/-80,000 jobs created in October UPDATED

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  - by New Deal democrat The level of initial jobless claims has been doing a good job in this expansion of forecasting the general level...
Sunday, November 2, 2014

Consumers' (accurate) bifurcated take on the economy - and why that isn't good for Democrats

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 -  by New Deal democrat  Naked Capitalism picked up a piece from Wolf Richter the other day (subsequently copied-and-pasted by the Pied...