Saturday, October 18, 2014

US Market Review For the Week of October 13-17; The Rebound Potential Is Increasing

›
     Last week put to rest any doubt about whether or not the market was in the middle of a correction.  Although the SPYs ended the week do...
Friday, October 17, 2014

Weekly indicators for October 16-20 at XE.com

›
  - by New Deal democrat My Weekly Indicator post is  Up at XE.com . This week, at least, it turns out the US really is exceptional.

Housing permits still say: deceleration not DOOM

›
  - by New Deal democrat Housing permits are one of the best long leading indicators there is.  They give us a good read on the economy 1...

US consumers paying the least for gas in nearly 4 years

›
  - by New Deal democrat This post is  up at XE.com . The best way to look at this is,how much of their disposable income do US consume...
Thursday, October 16, 2014

Quick Technical Update on the SPYs

›
    Above is a yearly chart of the SPYs with Fibonacci lines and fans drawn from the lowest point to the highest on the chart.  Price...

Jobless claims at 264,000 set new low

›
  - by New Deal democrat The 4 week moving average also set a new post-recession low. But, oh yeah, we're sliding into recession. S...
Wednesday, October 15, 2014

Neil Irwin of the New York Times has never heard of this thing called "gasoline"

›
  - by New Deal democrat Today Neil Irwin of "the Upshot" tells his readers  in the NYT that: You knew all that back in Decem...

The US Economy Is In Decent Shape

›
This is over at XE.com In saying the US economy is in "decent shape" I am not saying it is without problems.  Like most advance...
Tuesday, October 14, 2014

The bond market: deceleration not DOOOOM

›
  - by New Deal democrat I have a new post up at XE.com discussing  the message of the bond market .

Russia: The next Big Problem Economy

›
This is over at XE.com
Saturday, October 11, 2014

US Market Review For the Week of October 6-10.

›
     For the last 3-4 years, central bank created liquidity has been pumped into the equity markets as investors sought higher returns.  The...

Weekly Indicators for October 6 - 10 at XE.com

›
 - by New Deal democrat My weekly indicator post is  up at XE.com .  The data is more mixed than it was during the torrid summer, but I s...
Thursday, October 9, 2014

Quick Technical Look At The SPYs

›
Above is a 4 year weekly chart of the SPYs.  There are 10 corrections -- I've circled 3 in blue (I missed the one that occurred at th...

The Oil choke collar: is the US on the verge of finally breaking free?

›
  - by New Deal democrat I have a new  post up at XE.com . Back in 2011, I wrote that by about now, a combination of alternate fuels, t...
Wednesday, October 8, 2014

Off topic: this incident shows why the militarization of police must be reversed

›
  - by New Deal democrat Regular economic blogging will resume shortly.  But this article  from the Huffington Post  really caught my att...
Tuesday, October 7, 2014

Three updates on jobs, hours, and wages

›
  - by New Deal democrat I wanted to update three series with the jobs data through September: 1.  The REAL real unemployment and unde...
Sunday, October 5, 2014

Great minds think alike

›
  - by New Deal democrat Prof. Tim Duy  looks at the relationship between wages and the unemployment rate, and concludes that this time i...
Saturday, October 4, 2014

There is no mysterious dark pool of missing workers distorting the unemployment rate

›
- by New Deal democrat As I noted yesterday,   Jared Bernstein  recently said in a New York Times column: So why not just look at the ...

US Market Review For the Week of September 29-October 3

›
     Although the uptrend is still in place for both the SPYs and QQQs, weakness in the IWMs, mid-caps and micro-caps is at minimum adding t...

Weekly Indicators for September 29 - October 3 at XE.com

›
  - by New Deal democrat First, the good news:  the Oil choke collar has disengaged to the point where it is already close to its 2011 an...