The Bonddad Blog

Still nerdy after all these years

Saturday, October 11, 2014

US Market Review For the Week of October 6-10.

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     For the last 3-4 years, central bank created liquidity has been pumped into the equity markets as investors sought higher returns.  The...

Weekly Indicators for October 6 - 10 at XE.com

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 - by New Deal democrat My weekly indicator post is  up at XE.com .  The data is more mixed than it was during the torrid summer, but I s...
Thursday, October 9, 2014

Quick Technical Look At The SPYs

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Above is a 4 year weekly chart of the SPYs.  There are 10 corrections -- I've circled 3 in blue (I missed the one that occurred at th...

The Oil choke collar: is the US on the verge of finally breaking free?

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  - by New Deal democrat I have a new  post up at XE.com . Back in 2011, I wrote that by about now, a combination of alternate fuels, t...
Wednesday, October 8, 2014

Off topic: this incident shows why the militarization of police must be reversed

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  - by New Deal democrat Regular economic blogging will resume shortly.  But this article  from the Huffington Post  really caught my att...
Tuesday, October 7, 2014

Three updates on jobs, hours, and wages

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  - by New Deal democrat I wanted to update three series with the jobs data through September: 1.  The REAL real unemployment and unde...
Sunday, October 5, 2014

Great minds think alike

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  - by New Deal democrat Prof. Tim Duy  looks at the relationship between wages and the unemployment rate, and concludes that this time i...
Saturday, October 4, 2014

There is no mysterious dark pool of missing workers distorting the unemployment rate

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- by New Deal democrat As I noted yesterday,   Jared Bernstein  recently said in a New York Times column: So why not just look at the ...

US Market Review For the Week of September 29-October 3

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     Although the uptrend is still in place for both the SPYs and QQQs, weakness in the IWMs, mid-caps and micro-caps is at minimum adding t...

Weekly Indicators for September 29 - October 3 at XE.com

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  - by New Deal democrat First, the good news:  the Oil choke collar has disengaged to the point where it is already close to its 2011 an...
Friday, October 3, 2014

Yes, Doomers, we "can* compare 5.9% unemployment now with previous recoveries

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  - by New Deal democrat Beginning with Jared Bernstein's piece in the NYTimes this week, there's been another spasm of allegati...

International Week in Review: The Sky Is Not Falling, But the Calculus Has Changed

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This is over at XE.com. http://community.xe.com/blog/xe-market-analysis/international-week-review-sky-not-falling-calculus-has-changed

September jobs report: Now that's better! (but still not good enough)

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- by New Deal democrat HEADLINES : 248,000 jobs added to the economy U3 unemployment rate declined from 6.1% to 5.9% Wages and parti...

John "Trillion Dollar Loss" Hinderker, Employment Redux

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Ol' TDL (Trillion Dollar Loss) likes to complain about the US employment situation, and, more specifically, blame it on Obama.  While th...
Thursday, October 2, 2014

John "Trillion Dollar Loss" Hinderaker Attempts Economic Analysis; Fails

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In case you're wondering, John Hinderaker was one of the many people who said the Fed's policies would lead to hyper inflation and s...

SPYs and DIAs are Getting Near Key Support Levels

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Both the SPYs and DIAs have strong, nearly year long trend lines in place.  Current price action has placed prices very near to these ...

The unemployment rate as a leading indicator for wage growth

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  - by New Deal democrat One of the most pronounced issues in the US economy generally is the stagnation of wages since the turn of the M...
Wednesday, October 1, 2014

Markets Are Breaking Down

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    The transports have broken through a year long trend line with a decreasing MACD.  There is also the increase in volume on the se...
Tuesday, September 30, 2014

Sadly, Ed Yardeni is the Wanker of the Day - wage stagnation edition

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  - by New Deal democrat Dr. Ed Yardeni has some clickbait up at his blog titled,  The Wage Stagnation Myth . Yardeni is a highly-regard...

Housing sales and construction show slight improvement to stagnation

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  - by New Deal democrat I have a new post  up at XE.com  discussing this month's housing sales and construction releases. There is...
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