Saturday, July 12, 2014

Weekly Indicators for July 7 - 11 at XE.com

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 - by New Deal democrat My new Weekly Indicator post is  up at XE.com . Several important recent negative trends appear to be mod...

International Week in Review: UK Data Disappoints Edition

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This is up over at XE.com http://community.xe.com/forum/xe-market-analysis/international-week-review-uk-data-disappoints-edition
Friday, July 11, 2014

GDP tanked when Medicare started, too

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  - by New Deal democrat There was an interesting article by Floyd Norris  in the New York Times today, describing how the horrible final...
Thursday, July 10, 2014

Angie's List: How Not to Run a Company

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A recent post on Seeking Alpha detailed five reasons why the author didn't like Angie's list.  Two really stood out in my mind -- ma...
Wednesday, July 9, 2014

Analysts Are Wrong in Revising Their US Interest Rate Projections

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This is up over at XE.com http://community.xe.com/forum/xe-market-analysis/analysts-are-wrong-revising-us-interest-rate-projections

Wage Growth and CPI Correlation

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Above is a scatterplot comparing the year over year percentage change in seasonally adjusted average hourly earnings of "non-supervi...

Unemployment rate of less than 6% in coming months looks likely

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  - by New Deal democrat I have a new  post up at XE.com , updating a graph I have periodically run showing how the population adjusted r...
Tuesday, July 8, 2014

France: The Sick Man of the EU

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This is over at XE.com http://community.xe.com/forum/xe-market-analysis/france-sick-man-eu
Monday, July 7, 2014

Blackberry's Current Asset Managment Bodes Well For the Future

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A really good friend of mine used to love his Blackberry.  In fact, he called it is "crackerry" because he couldn't put it dow...
Sunday, July 6, 2014

A thought for Sunday: the new 3/5's Rule and plight of the DREAMers

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 - by New Deal democrat The 3/5's rule was one of the ugly compromises that had to be made in order to bring the slave-owning South i...
Saturday, July 5, 2014

International Week in Review: Solid US Employment Report Edition

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This is over at XE.com http://community.xe.com/forum/xe-market-analysis/international-week-review-solid-us-employment-report-edition

Weekly Indicators for June 30 - July 4 at XE.com

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  - by New Deal democrat Independence Day didn't feature the only fireworks of the week.  The second quarter  went out with a bang, t...
Friday, July 4, 2014

Happy Fourth of July

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  - by New Deal democrat Enjoy Independence Day!  Regular economic blogging will resume tomorrow. The American Revolution is a reminder...
Thursday, July 3, 2014

The REAL "real unemployment rate" for June 2014: 9.6%

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 - by New Deal democrat Before we leave today's employment report, here is one more item of interest, which I overlooked this morning...

The best measure yet of labor utilization?

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  - by New Deal democrat I think I have found a better measure of labor utilization than Paul Krugman's employment to population rati...

June 2014 jobs report: excellent headline, meh internals, and still not good enough

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- by New Deal democrat HEADLINES : Not in Labor Force, but Want a Job Now: down 323,000 to 6.115 million Employment/population ratio a...
Wednesday, July 2, 2014

The Atypical Structure of the Current US Employment Market

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This is up over at XE.com http://community.xe.com/forum/xe-market-analysis/atypical-structure-current-us-employment-situation

Ebay, Part II: the Income and Cash Flow Statement

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For the first part in this series on EBay's balance sheet, please go to this link. When looking at a large, established company's ...
Tuesday, July 1, 2014

What do the long leading indicators forecast for 2H 2014 and 1H 2015?

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  - by New Deal democrat With the first half of 2014 in the books, I take a look at the long leading indicators, that usually turn a year...

Ebay, Part 1: The Balance Sheet

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    One of my favorite guilty pleasures is looking at guitars on EBAY.  I've never purchased an instrument on line (and probably never w...