Saturday, June 7, 2014

Weekly Indicators for June 2 - 6 at XE.com

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 - by New Deal democrat My Weekly Indicators piece is  Up at XE.com . The high frequency data is booming.
Friday, June 6, 2014

Live-blogging D Day hour by hour, as it happened

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  - by New Deal democrat For those of you who are interested, the blog  World War 2 today , which normally posts one item per day, "...

May jobs report: same old, same old

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- by New Deal democrat HEADLINES : Not in Labor Force, but Want a Job Now: up +292,000 to 6.438 million Employment/population ratio ag...
Thursday, June 5, 2014

Of corporate profits, progressives, and the business cycle

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  - by New Deal democrat Yves Smith has a piece up at Naked Capitalism this morning on  "why economists don't recommend real r...
Wednesday, June 4, 2014

Joe Weisenthal needs to start reading my Weekly Indicators column again

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  - by New Deal democrat I guess Joe Weisenthal of Business Insider must have stopped reading my Weekly Indicators columns, because other...
Tuesday, June 3, 2014

Consumer spending pattern suggest mid-cycle has passed

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  - by New Deal democrat Spending on real PCE's looks like it is consistently outpacing real retail sales.  I have a post  up over at...

If the ECB Doesn't Act Now ...

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Inflation and unemployment data from the EU add more pressure on the ECB to act: http://community.xe.com/forum/xe-market-analysis/if-ecb-d...
Sunday, June 1, 2014

Euro and Pound Break Uptrend

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This is up over at XE.com http://community.xe.com/forum/xe-market-analysis/euro-and-pound-break-uptrends

The three data points I'll be watching for in this week's employment report

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  - by New Deal democrat This Friday we'll get the employment report for May.  Since it's going to be a busy news week, I thought...
Saturday, May 31, 2014

Weekly Indicators for May 26 - 30 at XE.com

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  - by New Deal democrat My Weekly Indicators post is  up at XE.com . This was a week that shows why watching the high frequency data i...
Friday, May 30, 2014

John Hinderaker: Once Again Proving His Economic Stupidity

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I've gotta hand it to John Hinderaker; never has someone with such a horrible record of economic analysis consistently proven his incomp...

First Quarter GDP Contraction A Statistical Blip

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This is over at XE.com http://community.xe.com/forum/xe-market-analysis/data-indicates-1q-usd-gdp-contraction-statistical-blip

The state of the housing market, April 2014

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 -  by New Deal democrat As most readers know  Bill McBride a/k/a Calculated Risk and I made a charitable bet  about the direction of ...
Thursday, May 29, 2014

Sometimes it's just too easy . . .

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  - by New Deal democrat I'd say that catching out the Pied Piper of Doom in inconsistency and hypocrisy is like shooting fish in a b...

First quarter corporate profits post small decline

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  - by New Deal democrat This post is up  over at XE.com . Corporate profits, adjusted for unit labor costs, are significant as a long ...
Wednesday, May 28, 2014

Why Real Median Housiehold Income is the most misused statistic in the econoblogosphere

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- by New Deal democrat In virtually any discussion in the econoblogophere about the well-being of the middle and working class, you are b...

Oil At Top of Triangle Consolidation Pattern

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Tuesday, May 27, 2014

This does not look like a market on the edge of a Crash

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by New Deal democrat Barron's ratio of insider to selling last 52 weeks: S&P 500 last 52 weeks: Hmmmm, insiders vs. Zero H...

Since the Beginning of the Year, Bonds Have Outperformed

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Above is a chart that compares the SPYs, UUP, IEF and DBC.  Since the beginning of the year, the IEF (7-10 year treasury) has clearly out...
Monday, May 26, 2014

The world will little note, nor long remember what we say here, but it can never forget what they did here.

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   - by New Deal democrat Gettysburg National Cemetery Antietam National Cemetery Arlington National Cemetery "We c...