Saturday, March 22, 2014

Weekly Indicators for March 17 - 21 at XE.com

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  - by New Deal democrat This week's edition is  up at XE.com . Appropriately for the week of the vernal equinox, the high frequenc...

International Week in Review; More of the Same Edition

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This is up over at XE.com
Friday, March 21, 2014

Chinese Yuan Moves Higher

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This is up over at XE.com

No Oil Premium For Ukraine Situation

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Above is a chart for West Texas Intermediate Crude.  It rallied a bit in the first part of the year, but prices broke support and are now...
Thursday, March 20, 2014

Soft patch in production may be over, but beware outright losses in employment in coming months

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  - by New Deal democrat I have a  new post up at XE.com . While the important February data all looks positive so far, the 1% decline ...

Grains and Softs Break Out On Weekly Charts

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  Above are the weekly charts for grains (top chart) and softs (bottom chart).  Both show clear downward trends for most of the past...
Wednesday, March 19, 2014

Fed Acknowledges Potential Deflation Problem

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This is over at XE.com

The loosening Oil choke collar, declining unemployment may give us a new high in real wages by year end

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- by New Deal democrat  Not surprisingly, the loosening of the Oil choke collar appears to be having a number of virtuous side effects. ...

Industrial Metals ETFs Trading Near Yearly Lows

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Above is a chart of the industrial metals ETF.  Since midway through last summer, it has been trading in a descending triangle formation....
Tuesday, March 18, 2014

The Russian Central Bank Faces A Nightmare Scenario

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This is up over at XE.com

Cattle ETF Rallying Strongly

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Above is the weekly chart for cattle.  The ETF was in a downtrend for two and a half years, continually printing lower lows and lower hig...

Housing permits and starts for February: permits up, starts down -62,000 YoY

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  - by New Deal democrat As you all know, based on 60 years of history, almost always when interest rates have moved up 1%, housing permi...
Monday, March 17, 2014

BRICs All In The Red

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Above is a chart of the BRIC indexes and ETFs.  All are in the red for the last year, some in a big way.

Russian ETF Tanks

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Even before the Crimean situation, the Russian ETF was in trouble.  After peaking at 29.47 in October of last year, the ETF has been cont...
Sunday, March 16, 2014

The missing Malaysia airliner: an intriguing "hybrid" possibility

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  - by New Deal democrat I just wanted to follow up my post yesterday, in which I indicated that once a mid-air explosion is ruled out, o...

A thought for Sunday: society is most vulnerable to those things of which it has no firsthand memory

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  - by New Deal democrat A theme of several political and economic articles I have read in the past few days is the notion of an inflecti...

International Economic Week In Review: China and Russia Start Screwing Things Up Edition

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The is up over at XE.com
Saturday, March 15, 2014

Weekly Indicators for March 10 - 14 at XE.com

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  - by New Deal democrat My Weekly Indicators column is  up at XE.com .  The recent trends appear to be continuing.

The missing Malaysian airliner: while the world is obsessing on Act 1, somebody may already be beginning to implement Act 2

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 - by New Deal democrat [regular nerdy economic blogging will resume shortly] '...when you have eliminated all which is impossibl...
Friday, March 14, 2014

More Signs of A Short-Term US Equity Market Top

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The 30 minute DIA chart shows a rounding top, declining momentum and a sharp sell-off yesterday. The 30-minute IWM (top chart) an...