Tuesday, December 3, 2013

ISM manufacturing suggests above trend GDP growth, decent Nov. and Dec. jobs reports

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  - by New Deal democrat I have a  new post up at XE.com , showing that yesterday's good ISM manufacturing report suggests 3%+ GDP gr...

US Yield Curve Is Widening

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Over at XE.com

Potential Housing Bubble Keeps the Reserve Bank of Australia From Lowering Rates

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This is over at XE.com

British Pound is Rallying

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The above chart shows the pound verses the dollar.  Over the last few months the economic news from the UK has been very promising.  It h...
Monday, December 2, 2013

The anatomy of median wage stagnation: paltry wage increases and gyrating gas prices

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 - by New Deal democrat Periodically in the last 6 months I have written stories challenging the dominant narrative about "median ho...

Junk Bond ETF Breaking Out on Daily Chart

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The junk bond ETF (JNK) has been in a short rally since mid-August.  Prices moved through the upper 39 level in mid-October, pulling the ...
Saturday, November 30, 2013

International Week in Review

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Is up over at XE.com

Weekly Indicators for November 25-29 at XE.com

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- by New Deal democrat This week's Weekly Indicator piece is  up at XE.com  .  This was another very positive week, but with consumer ...
Friday, November 29, 2013

Consumer inflation for November likely +0.3%

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- by New Deal democrat Since July, I have been using the change in the price of a gallon of gas as a simple method to forecast that month...
Thursday, November 28, 2013

FDR's Thanksgiving Day proclamation, 1943

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By the President of the United States of America A Proclamation God’s help to us has been great in this year of march towards world-...
Wednesday, November 27, 2013

October's housing permits report was the single best piece of US economic news since April

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  - by New Deal democrat I have a  new post up a XE.com  . October's housing permits report was the single best piece of US economic ...

Asian Markets Less Japan Hitting Strong Resistance in Lower 60s

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Above is a weekly chart for the all Asia less Japan ETF.  Over the last three years, prices have continued to hit resistance in the lower...
Tuesday, November 26, 2013

Cattle ETF Breaks Support

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Above is a chart for the cattle ETF.  There were two upward sloping trendlines; one connecting the lows of mid-May and early August a...
Monday, November 25, 2013

Keeping the Social Security Trust Fund solvent forever is even easier than I thought

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  - by New Deal democrat After I posted "A Plan to Keep Social Security solvent forever " last week, Bruce Webb, one of the...

Looks Like an End of the Year Melt Up For US Markets

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From Bloomberg: Investors are pouring more money into stock mutual funds in the U.S. than they have in 13 years, attracted by a market nea...
Saturday, November 23, 2013

Weekly indicators for November 18 - 22 at XE.com

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 - by New Deal democrat Weekly indicators for the week of November 18 - 22 are up  at xe.com .  Generally good, but that interest rates a...
Friday, November 22, 2013

Household deleveraging stabilizes at record low levels

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-by New Deal democrat The Federal Reserve's report on household debt burdens was released a couple of weeks ago, covering the March -...

Abenomics Is Working So Far

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This is up over at XE.com.

Great idea. Now how do we pay for it?

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 - by New Deal democrat Franklin Delano Roosevelt was a political genius. He deliberately designed Social Security as a social insurance p...
Thursday, November 21, 2013

Lowest inflation in 50 years (ex-great recession) helps wages, jobs

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  - by New Deal democrat I've been saying for months that all you really need to know in order to estimate inflation is the prices of ...