Saturday, October 5, 2013

Weekly Indicators: unaffected by government shutdown, but increasing concern about 2014 edition

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 - by New Deal democrat As we all know, the government shutdown prevented the reporting of nonfarm payrolls and the unemployment rate. ...
Friday, October 4, 2013

A very special September jobs report directly from the BLS computer

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- by New Deal democrat [Explanatory note: I tried to get in to the BLS's HAL 9000 computer to get the employment report for every...

Is France Turning the Corner?

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For the first part of the this year I was bearish on France ( see here ).  But over the last few months we've seen the economic numbers ...
Thursday, October 3, 2013

Wherein the mask doesn't just slip, it falls onto the floor with a loud, reverberating clatter

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. - by New Deal democrat I love posting highly polarizing diaries at times like this. ...there have been times (many, many times) in m...

No Commodity Based Inflation in the Works

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Above is a weekly chart of the overall commodity index for the last three years.  While heavily weighted towards oil, other commodities a...

Republican Minority Decides To Send US Into Recession

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The federal government has shut down, largely as a result of a minority of Republicans bullying the Speaker of the House into a no compromis...

Oil Is Still At Elevated Levels

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For the last several months, oil has been trading between the 102/104 and 108 level.  Over the last few trading sessions prices have move...
Wednesday, October 2, 2013

An important announcement from Bonddad and New Deal democrat

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Although I'm not a fan of the Grateful Dead, I have to admit the phrase, "what a long strange trip it's been" has been run...
Tuesday, October 1, 2013

Consumer prices likely up 0.1% in September, YoY up only 1.1%

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- by New Deal democrat For the last few months I have been using the change in the price of a gallon of gas to forecast that month's ...

Abe's Policies Are Starting to Have a Positive Impact

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It was about this time last year when Abe's policies began to have an impact on investor's expectations for the Japanese economy.  A...
Monday, September 30, 2013

ECRI recession call: unhappy two year anniversary

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- by New Deal democrat Today exactly two full years have passed since Lakshman Achuthan of ECRI appeared on all of the cable business ...

Market/Economic Analysis: US

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Last week, we received a broad swath of information on the US economy, starting with the third and final GDP statement for 2Q13.  According ...
Sunday, September 29, 2013

'Breaking Bad' finale predictions

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- by New Deal democrat Because I did so well a few weeks ago ( ), here are my predications for tonight's finale of 'Breaking B...

Leave comments here

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I've turned comments back on, but it doesn't work for pieces already posted. So if you have a comment about the new blog style, or ...

A thought for Sunday: an undemocratically elected minority of anarchists

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- by New Deal democrat An old cynical political saw says that, "in a democracy, people get the government they deserve." As ...
Saturday, September 28, 2013

Weekly Indicators: are consumers voting against Washington idiocy? edition

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 - by New Deal democrat Monthly data reported this past week included August personal income, spending, and savings, all up. Case=Shil...
Friday, September 27, 2013

Weekend Weimar, Beagle and Pit Bull

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Japan Continues To See Inflationary Increase

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While it seems odd to talk about increased inflation as a good economic development, for Japan it is.  For the last 15 years they have been ...

Europe Catching a Bid

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The recent news out of the EU region has been positive.  While it's still to early to say that a positive trend is in place, the news ha...

The economy has almost completely recovered (the people in it, not necessarily so much)

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. - by New Deal democrat This morning's release of personal income and spending completes the monthly reports for the 4 big coinciden...