The Bonddad Blog
Still nerdy after all these years
Saturday, August 24, 2013
Weekly indicators: Steel production debuts, plus, Gallup gets a bad panel edition
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- by New Deal democrat In July monthly data reported this past week, existing home sales rose, while new home sales fell sharply, conf...
Friday, August 23, 2013
Weekend Weimar, Beagle and Pit Bull
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NDD will be here over the weekend; I'll be back on Monday.
Food CPI Contained
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Riffing off the grain post from earlier today, here's a chart of the year over year percentage change in food CPI. Notice that prices a...
More Downward Pressure On Grain Proces Likely
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From the Financial Times: The US drought of 2012, the worst since the Dust Bowl years of the 1930s, is finally releasing its grip on wor...
Thursday, August 22, 2013
Dear Kevin Drum, CNN Money, CNBC, ABC News, Huffington Post, and AP: No, household income does not equal "compensation" or "earnings"
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- by New Deal democrat If you were wondering why I spent so much time and effort researching the the "median wage " and "...
Interest rates in disinflationary vs deflationary environments
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- by New Deal democrat I wanted to follow up on a point I made the other day in my post about "Three ways to look at interest rate...
Consumers Are Spending More on Durable Goods This Recovery
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The chart above from the St. Louis Federal Reserve shows non-durable (in blue) and durable goods (in red) purchases, with 2007 being base...
Wednesday, August 21, 2013
Indian Situation Continues To Deteriorate
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The situation in India continues to deteriorate. First, yields are spiking: A surge in Indian sovereign debt costs to a 12-year high thi...
Nancy Folbre pre-buts Paul Krugman on math and trade
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- by New Deal democrat Prof. Noah Smith writes a searing indictment of most macro economic theory, saying: But macro was a different...
The oil choke collar and wages
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. - by New Deal democrat I remain mystified why virtually the entire Econo-commentariat fails to notice the importance of the Oil choke c...
Developing Market Currencies Dropping Sharply
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India is in a very difficult position, as it seems that several major macro-level economic problems are coming to a boil. First, they ha...
Tuesday, August 20, 2013
Oil Is Consolidating Recent Gains
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Oil is consolidating in a symmetrical triangle pattern between 104 and 108. If I was to place any bets, I'd wager a move higher. Al...
Three ways to look at interest rates
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- by New Deal democrat The impact of the Fed's "taper" on longer term bonds has been one of the big events of the last th...
The Case Against Larry Summers As Fed Chair
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I will admit upfront that I do not get into the personalities of the various Fed presidents; I couldn't tell you who's a dove or haw...
Monday, August 19, 2013
SPYs Beating BRICs in Return
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From Bloomberg: Investors are favoring U.S. stocks over emerging markets by the most ever as fund flows and volatility measures show inst...
Should Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization Be Concerning Us?
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Consider the following charts: Industrial production has increased the last four months. However, the last 9 readings of this metric ...
Market/Economic Analysis: US
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As always, let's start with last week's economic releases: The Good Prices are under control. CPI increased .2% (2% Y/Y) , PP...
Saturday, August 17, 2013
Weekly Indicators: Jobless claims, consumer spending are the stars of the show edition
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- by New Deal democrat There was a full plate of July monthly data this past week. Industrial production laid a big goose egg, unchan...
Friday, August 16, 2013
Weekend Weimar, Beagle and Pit Bull
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I'll be back on Monday; NDD will be here over the weekend.
The truth about the decline in real median household income
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- by New Deal democrat This is the final installment in a series I began a couple of months ago, after Pulitzer Prize winning journal...
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