The Bonddad Blog

Still nerdy after all these years

Saturday, September 1, 2012

Weekly Indicators: recent trends continue to dominate edition

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  - by New Deal democrat In the rear view mirror, 2nd quarter GDP was revised up to 1.7%. With the exception of consumer sentiment, wh...
Friday, August 31, 2012

Weekend Weimar, Beagle and Pit Bull

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We'll be back on Tuesday. Have a happy and safe holiday.

The Beige Book Summary

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The Federal Reserve released the Beige Book this week.   Below is the summary of its findings.  It provides a great, near real time "yo...

Morning Market Analysis

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The above 60 minute charts show the US markets are consolidating.  The IWMs (top chart) are in the middle of a symmetrical triangle...
Thursday, August 30, 2012

Bonddad Linkfest

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Australian building drops for fifth straight month (HIA) French business climate deteriorated in June (NIS) Italian retail sales up (ISTA...

We didn't start a recession in July, either

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- by New Deal democrat With the release of personal income this morning, we now know the values of all four series thought to guide the...

Manufacturing Is Definitely Slowing

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While manufacturing was a big reason for the US' recent economic growth, that trend is definitely changing.  Recent data shows that manu...

Morning Market Analysis

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The SPYs have sold off a bit from their recent advance.  However, prices are now consolidating at levels established in late March.  They...
Wednesday, August 29, 2012

The Pied Piper of Doom's perfect (contrary) record stays intact: house prices edition

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- by New Deal democrat As reported yesterday, the Case Shiller housing index, which bottomed on a seasonally adjusted basis in January, ...

Once Again, University of Chicago Gets It Wrong

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From John Cochrane A really good example: What will the effect on output and employment be of ending 99 weeks of unemploment insurance? T...

Morning Market Analysis

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Today, I want to look at the currency markets.   More importantly, I want to note that the currency markets have been remarkably stable.  Co...
Tuesday, August 28, 2012

Bonddad Linkfest

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Choppy markets give way to orderly accumulation (Marketwatch) Spanish yields drop at auction (Marketwatch) Is Australia in the same boat ...

Inflation Really Isn't An Issue

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Above is a chart for the year over year percentage change in CPI for the US (blue line) Japan (red line) Euro area (green line) and UK (...

It isn't just Case Shiller: almost every house price index has bottomed

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- by New Deal democrat This morning's Case Shiller report for June showed prices in the 20 city composite rising YoY for the fi...

Morning Market Analysis

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The two charts above (a daily and weekly gold chart, respectively) show that gold has stopped consolidating between ~150-159 and advan...
Monday, August 27, 2012

Bonddad Linkfest

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Romney 47, Obama 46 in new WaPo poll (WaPo) Romney outlines governing style (Politico) Iceland was right and everybody else was wrong (BP...

The Long-Term Market Still Isn't Breaking Out

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The above chart shows the SPYs for the last 10 years.  Notice that, in the grand scheme of things, we've really only traded in a big ...

Morning Market Analysis

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The daily SPY chart (top chart) shows that prices broke an uptrend last week and also moved through support established a little over si...
Saturday, August 25, 2012

Bill Nye -- A Fellow Nerd

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If we use logic, it will save us all

Weekly Indicators: Summer's almost gone (morning found us calmly unaware) edition

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  - by New Deal democrat The monthly data for July released last week was sparse, and mixed. Both new and existing home sales rose. N...
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