The Bonddad Blog

Still nerdy after all these years

Tuesday, January 17, 2012

Bonddad Linkfest

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European yields drop at auction (WSJ) China's GDP slows to 8.9% (WSJ) EU inflation slows (WSJ) Dr. Copper gets a new specialty (WSJ)...

1952: Investment

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In 1952, we see some pretty wild vacillations in overall gross investment and its contributions to overall GDP.  The first quarter -- whi...

Behind the Jobless Recovery

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Great piece today in the WSJ on how low interest rates and economic uncertainty are creating an environment that encourages investment over ...

Morning Market

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Let's start with what my qualifications for "liking" the current market rally. 1.) An uptick in copper 2.) A continuing ral...
Monday, January 16, 2012

The ECRI Weekly Leading Index, unmasked

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- by New Deal democrat This is a continuation of my series reverse engineeering ECRI's Weekly Leading Index (WLI). I began by noting ...

I'll Be Back in the AM

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The markets are closed in observance of MLK's birthday, so I'll be back in the AM.  However, NDD has a piece up shortly that will be...
Saturday, January 14, 2012

Weekly Indicators Will Return Next Week

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NDD has had a brutal week at work and simply ran out of time this week.  As his attorney or record, I've counseled him to consumer a lar...
Friday, January 13, 2012

Stephen Colbert: The Presidential Candidate of the Bonddad Blog

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If ever anyone -- and I mean anyone -- could make me have hope in the current electoral situation, it is Jon Stewart and Stephen Colbert.  U...

1952 PCE's

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The above chart shows the percentage contribution that personal consumption expenditures (PCEs) made to GDP in 1952, along with the contr...

1952: A Look At GDP and Its Subparts

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This post is part of the Bonddad Economic History Project.  Above is a graph of the percentage change in GDP and the contributions of v...

Morning Market

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Remember that I'm looking for the following events to "like" the market rally: an increase in copper, better intra-day stats i...
Thursday, January 12, 2012

Bonddad Linkfest

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UK industrial production sags (FT) ECB keeps rates at 1% (FT)   China's inflation drops to 4.1% YOY (FT) Spain and Italy and succes...

Will Food Prices Reassert Themselves?

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Three stories over the past week caught my eye: First, we have a dry spell in South America: Crop prices rose sharply this week on worri...

Beta testing the Shadow Weekly Leading Index

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- by New Deal democrat As readers know, I am trying to reverse engineer the ECRI Weekly Leading Index. Prof. Geoffrey Moore recommended 1...

Morning Market

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Yesterday, commenter I Will Not Accept the Terms of Service (great name, BTW) asked the following question: These charts of been going up ...
Wednesday, January 11, 2012

Bonddad Linkfest?

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Euro drops on Fitch statement (BB) US farmers probably planted the most wheat in three years (BB) Treasury sees record bid for latest 3-y...

What's Holding the Economy Back?

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For the last year and half, the US economy has not been able to get to "escape velocity" -- a rate of growth over 3%.  There are s...

What Will It Take For Me To Be Impressed With the Markets?

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Since the beginning of the year, I've been complaining about the market rally.  While it technically looks like it's rallying, the r...

Morning Market

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The 60 minute IWM chart shows that prices gapped higher yesterday.  This is technically good, but notice (again) the lack of follow thro...
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