The Bonddad Blog

Still nerdy after all these years

Tuesday, August 24, 2010

Business Investment, Consumer Spending And Current Economy

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From the Washington Post: Many Democrats say the economy needs more stimulus. Business lobbyists and their Republican allies say it needs l...

No, Really, Austerity Doesn't Work

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From the FT: The eurozone’s growth spurt lost momentum this month, as an expansion in output in Germany and France failed to make up for ...

Yesterday's Market

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Click for a bigger chart. Prices gapped higher at the open (b), but hit resistance 108.5 and reversed, rallying into the 10 minute EMA (d) b...
Monday, August 23, 2010

A few additions to the Site

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- by New Deal democrat With Bonddad's permission, I've made a couple of additons to the site. First of all, on the right side I...

Regarding Government Numbers

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One of the oldest arguments on the internet is the government -- or non-government numbers for that matter -- are deeply flawed and therefor...

The S l o w - M o t i o n Bust enters a new phase

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- by New Deal democrat Way back in 2006,(see, for example, here ) I started to develop a narrative for what I called "the s l o w -...

Yesterday's Market

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Notice that the level denoted by (a) was still technically important last week, as prices attempted to move through this level, only to be r...
Saturday, August 21, 2010

Weekend Buried Treasure: "Ships with Sails"

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- by New Deal democrat Here is a song you have probably never heard. To appreciate it, I suggest minimizing the screen while you listen, ...
Friday, August 20, 2010

Weekly Indicators: Summer's Almost Gone edition

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- by New Deal democrat This week the initial strong showing of Industrial Production, up 1.0%, and capacity utilization, up 0.7%, were ove...

A Note on Initial Jobless Claims

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One of the frustrating aspects of the initial new claims data is there is no underlying information -- that is, there is no information abou...

A Note on the Leading Economic Indicators

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- by New Deal democrat As I have frequently pointed out, the KISS method to be right about the economy over the next 3-6 months is simply ...

Bundesbank Increases Growth Forcast

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From Bloomberg: The Bundesbank raised its growth forecast for Germany this year after the economy expanded at the fastest pace in two decade...

Yesterday's Market

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Notice that stock prices have been trading in a range for the last three and a half months. The EMA picture (a) is extremely cloudy; all the...
Thursday, August 19, 2010

The NBER and dating Recessions and Recoveries: contra Calculated Risk

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- by New Deal democrat [Note: I drafted this early last month, but withheld publishing it, because it seemed "defensive." Altho...

Crap Numbers

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From Bloomberg: Initial claims are piling up, indicating that businesses are continuing to cut costs. Initial claims came in at 500,000 in ...

500,000 New Jobless Claims is bad. But...

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- by New Deal democrat Since Bonddad hasn't posted on this (yet), allow me to make a few comments: 1. 500,000 new jobless claims is ba...

Australia Wheat Crop Hit By Drought

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From Agrimoney.com While traders cited continuing pressure on prices from funds selling up, and farmer selling, the prospect of a weak gra...

Yesterday's Market

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Yesterday, prices traded between two important technical levels, the first established over a week ago (a) and the second from the previous ...
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