The Bonddad Blog

Still nerdy after all these years

Monday, August 16, 2010

The Yield Curve and Recessions

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There were a few articles on the yield curve over the week -- one in the WSJ and one in Barron's. So I thought this would be a good tim...

China Moves Past Japan; Detroit Rebounds

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From the Financial Times: The Chinese economy eclipsed the Japanese economy in size in the second quarter after Japan posted poor economic g...

Real retail sales and jobs - updated to August 2010

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- by New Deal democrat First of all, my apologies to readers. I wasn't able to get to the longer piece I had hoped to write over the wee...

Yesterday's Market

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Let's start with a few macro observations. First, the market has been bouncing between two Fibonacci levels this year. Corey over at A...
Friday, August 13, 2010

Weekly Indicators: Hawaiian volcano photography edition

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- by New Deal democrat A few months ago, I posted a photograph of Kilauea volcano in Hawaii by night, and recommended that readers put the s...

Does anyone think these people filed for unemployment benefits?

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- by New Deal democrat Yesterday and today, I've been addressing the conundrum that virtually every measure typically used to measure ...

Tax Withholding soars -- Why haven't nonfarm payrolls?

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- by New Deal democrat A conundrum I have noted several times in the last several months is the wide divergence between the large percentage...

Yesterday's Market

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First, notice that the lows from Wednesday provided a "zone of resistance" for any upward movement in yesterday's market. Yest...
Thursday, August 12, 2010

Initial Unemployment Claims Increase

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From Bloomberg: The outlook for the August employment report is off to a bad start in what can't be good for today's stock market. ...

July foreclosures down nearly 10% from last year

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- by New Deal democrat Atrios this morning says that "The forgotten foreclosure crisis [ ] keeps getting worse." Ummm, no. Yes, fo...

Temporary employees and Nonfarm Payrolls

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- by New Deal democrat About a week ago, our occasional co-blogger Invictus, who now typically hangs out at the more spacious digs of Barry ...

Yesterday's Market

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Notice that prices were in a tight range for the last 8 days. However, yesterday prices moved lower in a big way (b). Prices gapped lower (...
Wednesday, August 11, 2010

More on Structural Unemployment

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Several weeks ago, I wrote two articles comparing this recovery to the other two jobless recoveries (see here and here ). I came to the co...

Russian Heatwave May Lower Russian GDP by 1%

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From the FT: Russia has begun counting the economic toll of the worst heatwave since records began as economists warned that the wildfires ...

The Dollar and Manufacturing

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With the dollar recent drop, I was thinking it would be a good time to look at the dollar/ISM relationship to see if the dollar's recent...

Yesterday's Market

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For the last week or so, the market has been unable to overcome key resistance levels. That trend continued yesterday. The SPYs are still f...
Tuesday, August 10, 2010

Welcome to the World of Quantitative Easing

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From the Federal Reserve: To help support the economic recovery in a context of price stability, the Committee will keep constant the Feder...

Productivity Drops .9%

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From the BLS: Nonfarm business sector labor productivity decreased at a 0.9 percent annual rate during the second quarter of 2010, the U.S. ...

Savings, Spending, Growth, and Jobs

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- by New Deal democrat In this post I want to take address a secular change in the economy. One of the questions that frequently gets as...
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