The Bonddad Blog
Still nerdy after all these years
Friday, August 29, 2008
Weekend Weimar and Beagle
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OK -- there aren't any pictures. I'm down with the same bug I had a few days ago. According to my doc, I'll have it at least a...
Forex Fridays --- The Dollar
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On the long-term chart, notice the following: -- Prices have moved above the long-term downward sloping trend line that started over two yea...
Thursday, August 28, 2008
Today's Markets
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I'm loathe to call today's price action a break-out, only because the SMAs are such a mess. However, prices did move above the uppe...
GDP +3.3%
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From the BEA: Real gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States --...
Thursday Oil Market Round-Up
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On the long-term chart, notice the following: -- Prices are resting on the long-term trend line. That means despite everybody being thrille...
Wednesday, August 27, 2008
Today's Markets
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The market is a mess right now; there is no clear direction one way or the other. Note the following: -- Prices and SMAs are bunched togeth...
Financial Sector Is Still Deteriorating
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From the FDIC: The continued downturn in the credit cycle, combined with lingering weakness in financial markets and falling asset values, h...
We're Nowhere Near A Bottom in Housing
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From the WSJ: But prices are still much lower than they were a year ago. Home prices in 10 major metropolitan areas in June fell 17% from th...
Wednesday Commodities Round-Up
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Starting at the end of last summer, the commodities index started rallying. The rally lasted about a year. Prices would rally, sell-off an...
Tuesday, August 26, 2008
Back Tomorrow
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I've got a 24 bug. I'll be back tomorrow morning.
Treasury Tuesdays
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Let's look at the macro-picture to see where we are in the cycle. The IEF (7-10 year Treasury) started to rally at the end of last summ...
Monday, August 25, 2008
Today's Markets
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Notice the following: -- Prices fell through all the SMAs today -- Prices rebounded from the trend line started in mid-July The big issue wi...
We're Nowhere Near A Bottom in Housing
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From CNBC: The National Association of Realtors reported sales rose to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5 million units. Sales had been ...
Both Tax Plans Will Add to the Deficit -- And Our Problems
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From the Tax Policy Center: Both John McCain and Barack Obama have proposed tax plans that would substantially increase the national debt ov...
Market Mondays
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Let's start with the macro picture. Notice two important things about this year long chart in daily increments: -- Prices are below the...
Friday, August 22, 2008
Weekend Weimar and Beagle
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It's that time of the week. It's time to not think about the markets and move into anything else but the markets. To that end.... ...
The Auto Bail-Outs Are Starting
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From CNBC: Lobbyists for the U.S. automakers—General Motors, Ford Motor and Chrysler—briefed White House officials, as well as U.S. Rep. Joh...
Manufacturing Is Not Looking Good
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From the NBER (on what they look for in order to date a recession): The committee places particular emphasis on two monthly measures of act...
Forex Fridays --- The Dollar
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On the weekly chart, notice the following: -- The dollar broke through the downward sloping trend line that started at the beginning of 2006...
Thursday, August 21, 2008
Today's Markets
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Let's look at the macro environment to remember where we are: Since the end of last summer, the market has made a series of lower lows a...
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