The Bonddad Blog

Still nerdy after all these years

Friday, August 22, 2008

Weekend Weimar and Beagle

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It's that time of the week. It's time to not think about the markets and move into anything else but the markets. To that end.... ...

The Auto Bail-Outs Are Starting

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From CNBC: Lobbyists for the U.S. automakers—General Motors, Ford Motor and Chrysler—briefed White House officials, as well as U.S. Rep. Joh...

Manufacturing Is Not Looking Good

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From the NBER (on what they look for in order to date a recession): The committee places particular emphasis on two monthly measures of act...

Forex Fridays --- The Dollar

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On the weekly chart, notice the following: -- The dollar broke through the downward sloping trend line that started at the beginning of 2006...
Thursday, August 21, 2008

Today's Markets

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Let's look at the macro environment to remember where we are: Since the end of last summer, the market has made a series of lower lows a...

Let's Look A Bit Deeper Into the Future Inflation Picture

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Over the last few weeks, I've noted that with oil coming down in price we should also expect a drop in inflation. Here are the relevant...

Thursday Oil Market Round-Up

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Let's start with the macro-view. The oil market started a rally in early 2007. Prices are now at that trend line started in early 2007...
Wednesday, August 20, 2008

Today's Markets

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On this chart, notice the following: -- Prices are below all the SMAs -- Prices are below the trend line that started in early July -- The l...

Fannie and Freddie Tumble

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From Bloomberg: Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac tumbled in New York trading to the lowest valuations since at least 1990 as speculation increased...

A Closer Look At Gold

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Considering this is Wednesday, let's take a look at the gold market. I use the gold market as an inflation proxy, meaning gold's pr...

Wednesday Commodities Round-Up

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Let's start with the macro-level view: -- The CRB started to rally at the end of last summer, and has risen about 58% from low to high. ...
Tuesday, August 19, 2008

Today's Markets

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This is the big news today -- a possible break of the upward trend. The market started to rally on July 15 and has been in a clear uptrend ...

PPI Comes in Hot ... But.....

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The PPI number came in really hot yesterday, printing a 10% year over year number. But... My guess is that so long as we have commodities dr...

Former IMF Economist Sees Big Bank Going Under

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From Reuters: The worst of the global financial crisis is yet to come and a large U.S. bank will fail in the next few months as the world...

Treasury Tuesdays

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Let's first look at the macro-level picture to put the latest action in perspective. On the year long chart the credit crunch rally is ...
Monday, August 18, 2008

Today's Markets

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Although the market dropped hard today, the real issue is where is the market in relation to the uptrend that started in mid-July. As the c...

Housing is Nowhere Near a Bottom

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From Bloomberg: Confidence among U.S. homebuilders was unchanged in August at a record low, signaling there is no relief in sight from the w...

The Financial Sector Is Still In Deep Trouble

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From IBD: It's the 5th bank [Wachovia] to agree to repurchase auction-rate securities under pressure from federal and state regulators w...

Market Mondays

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Let's start with a macro-level view of the market -- where we are in the bigger picture. The market is clearly in a downward sloping tre...
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