The Bonddad Blog

Still nerdy after all these years

Saturday, September 1, 2007

Last Week's Market Action

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This seemed to settle down a bit last week, although there is still a great deal of trepidation out there in market land. Let's see wha...
Friday, August 31, 2007

Weekend Weimar

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The markets are closed. Now that things have settled down a bit, we will return to Weekend Weimar. This means: -- the markets are closed. ...

Bernanke Sets The Right Tone

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I've been very critical of Bernanke over the last few weeks, largely because I viewed his cut in the discount rate as the first move in ...

Real PCEs Increase

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From the BEA: Real DPI -- DPI adjusted to remove price changes -- increased 0.5 percent in July, compared with an increase of 0.2 percent in...

Why A Rate Cut Won't Help

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From Reuters: The credit market is experiencing an unprecedented loss of confidence due to the lack of transparency over where exposures lie...

Another Hedge Fund Bail-Out

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From the WSJ: Barclays Capital rescued from collapse a structured investment vehicle it helped set up last year, after other so-called ...

Is Construction Employment Lower?

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From IBD: "Jobless claims drifting up as they have is consistent with a slowdown" in GDP growth in the second half of the year, sa...
Thursday, August 30, 2007

New High/New Low Index Stil Bearish

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Here is the New York new high/new low index and the NASDAQ new high/new low index. Notice these are still trending down. That gives me gre...

Today's Markets

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The markets traded in two different periods today. First they opened lower on the GDP report. Traders are use to the idea of the Fed cutt...

A Look At the QQQQs

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While I usually look at the SPYs, there are of course other markets. One of the constant refrains I read in investment letters is large tec...

Commercial Paper Market Still Shrinking

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From Bloomberg: The U.S. commercial paper market shrank for a third week, extending the biggest slump in at least seven years, as investors ...

GDP Increased to 4%

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Here is a link to the original report from the BEA. Here is the report from Bloomberg: Surging exports and business spending propelled U.S. ...

The Markets Are Working Properly; Let Them Work

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From the WSJ: On the short end of the maturity spectrum, demand remained solid as investors continued to turn away from risk and seek safety...
Wednesday, August 29, 2007

Today's Markets

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What a difference a day -- and more speculation of a rate cut -- makes. As the Briefing noted: Onward and upward remains the driving mantra ...

A Really Good Explanation Of What Has Happened

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From Business Week: Making sense of this mess is daunting. One good place to start: the ways various financial players indulged in layer up...

Yen and T-Bill

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Two keys to the current market situation are the Yen and short-term Treasury bonds. The yen is a proxy for the carry trade (borrowing in an...
Tuesday, August 28, 2007

More Charts For the SPYs

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Here is a 1-year chart for the SPYs. I added support lines. We have about 1.2% to 1.9% before we hit the lowest support line on the chart....

Today's Markets

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What a difference a Fed statement can make..... Ever since the Fed cut the discount rate, I have been talking about an upward sloping channe...

Fed Minutes

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The Fed released the minutes of the August 7 meeting. Because the Fed's perception of the economy is so incredibly important right now...

And from the Oooops Department....

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About a month ago, Google shut my blog down for about a day. They said I had a spam blog. They figured out I didn't have one so I got ...
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