Saturday, September 5, 2015

Weekly Indicators for August 31 - September 4 at XE.com

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 - by New Deal democrat My Weekly Indicators post is  up at XE.com . This week particularly highlighted the bifurcation between those ...

International Economic Week in Review

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This is over at XE.com
Friday, September 4, 2015

August jobs report: Meh headliine, great internals except wage growth still stinks

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- by New Deal democrat HEADLINES : 173,000 jobs added to the economy U3 unemployment rate fell -0.2% to 5.1%  With the expansion fir...
Thursday, September 3, 2015

US consumers power past poor manufacturing

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 - by New Deal democrat I have a new  post up at XE.com , contrasting the slowdown in US manufacturing vs. the strength of the US con...

A real puzzle about real wages

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 - by New Deal democrat This morning the National Employment Law Project (NELP) released its annual update on real wages during the rec...
Wednesday, September 2, 2015

Forecasting the 2016 election economy: using housing permits toforecast the unemployment rate

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D  - by New Deal democrat One of the best economic indicators for the electoral success (or not) of the incumbent party in Presidential e...
Tuesday, September 1, 2015

Canada Enters A Recession

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This is over at XE.com
Monday, August 31, 2015

Comparing labor market recoveries

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 - New Deal democrat With few exceptions, people don't get a job for social reasons.  They go to work each day in order to earn mon...
Saturday, August 29, 2015

US Equity and Economic Review For the Last Week

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This is over at XE.com

Weekly Indicators for August 24 - 28 at XE.com

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 - by New Deal democrat My Weekly Indicator piece is  Up at XE.com  .  There were no significant changes this week.

International Economic Week in Review

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This is over at XE.com
Friday, August 28, 2015

Corporate profits in Q2 set another record

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 - by New Deal democrat Since corporate profits are a long leading indicator for the economy, and stock prices a short leading indicator...
Wednesday, August 26, 2015

A simple point about the Chinese stock market crash

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 - by New Deal democrat As I wrote yesterday, the only thing that has been added to the economic news this summer, that we didn't alr...
Tuesday, August 25, 2015

China sneezes, and the US catches ... the sniffles

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 - by Neew Deal democrat I have a new post  up at XE.com , entitled "The China Syndrome."
Saturday, August 22, 2015

Weekly Indicators for August 17 - 21 at XE.com

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 - by New Deal democrat My Weekly Indicator post is  up at XE.com . The US$ is "King of the World" at the moment. The resulti...
Friday, August 21, 2015

WE'RE DOOOOMED!!!! S&P goes negative YoY

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 - by New Deal democrat I have a special comment  up at XE.com . Given what has been happening with corporate profits, and the likely ...

The good news is, if the Fed is wrong, it can reverse course. The bad news is...

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 - by New Deal democrat To find out, click on over to my new post  up at XE.com . See, I can write a clickbait headline just like Busi...
Thursday, August 20, 2015

The implications of the child care cost crush for median household income and "shadow unemployment"

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 - by New Deal democrat The other day I showed that there is compelling evidence that the primary reason for the long term decline in t...
Wednesday, August 19, 2015

July consumer prices: all intact trends continue

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 - by New Deal democrat This morning's CPI report for July was a big yawn, coming in at +0.1% just as expected, and YoY CPI also ...
Tuesday, August 18, 2015

July housing permits and starts: no cause for celebration or concern

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 - by New Deal democrat I have a new  post up at XE.com  analyzing this morning's housing permits and starts report.  We are neither ...